首页|期刊导航|气象科学|2025/2026年冬季中国主要天气气候事件特征

2025/2026年冬季中国主要天气气候事件特征OA

Characteristics of the major weather and climate events in China during the winter of 2025/2026

中文摘要英文摘要

2025/2026 年冬季,我国气候异常显著,气温整体呈明显偏暖特征,全国平均气温较常年同期偏高1.5℃,为 1961 年以来历史同期第二高值;全国冬季平均降水量较常年同期偏少35.3%,空间分布差异大,其中西藏、云南为 1961 年以来历史同期最少,青海次之.本季度主要气象灾害以冷空气、干旱、沙尘为主,灾害强度偏强、影响广泛、极端性突出.整体偏暖背景下,极端低温与极端降温事件仍较突出,各有3 个国家气象观测站日最低气温及日降温幅度突破或持平历史极值,冷暖波动明显.全季共出现13 次冷空气过程,较常年同期偏多 2.7 次,5 次全国型的寒潮与强冷空气南下引发大范围剧烈降温和持续低温.气象干旱呈阶段性发展,空间上"南重北轻",西南西部、华南东部及东南部旱情持续偏重,2 月中下旬达全季最重.沙尘天气异常偏多偏强,共出现6 次区域性过程,其中3 次达沙尘暴过程等级,强过程集中在2 月下旬,影响北方大部地区,多地出现强风、扬沙及强沙尘暴.2025/2026 年冬季欧亚大陆中高纬度 500 hPa 以纬向型环流为主,东亚槽偏弱且位置偏西偏北,我国大部受高度场正距平控制,利于冬季气温偏高.该季两次全国型寒潮由中高纬度异常环流驱动,极涡异常、槽脊活跃及冷空气堆积南下,共同影响我国大部地区.

During the 2025/2026 winter,China experienced significant climate anomalies,dominated by an obvious overall warming trend.The national average temperature was 1.5℃higher than the same period of the normal year,ranking the second highest since 1961 for the corresponding period.In contrast,the national average winter precipitation was 35.3%lower than the normal,with considerable spatial variations;specifically,Tibet and Yunnan recorded the least precipitation since 1961 for this period,while Qinghai had the second least.The main meteorological disasters in this season were cold waves,droughts,and dusts,featuring strong intensity,wide-ranging impact,and prominent extremeness.Despite the overall warming background,extreme low temperature and extreme temperature drop events remained prominent:three different national meteorological observation stations broke or equaled historical extremes in daily minimum temperature and daily temperature drop range,indicating obvious cold-warm fluctuations.Throughout the season,there were 13 cold wave processes,2.7 times more than the normal;among them,five national-level cold waves and strong cold events moved southward,causing large-scale sharp temperature drops and continuous low temperatures.Meteorological drought developed in stages,showing a spatial pattern of"heavier in the south and lighter in the north",with persistently severe drought in western Southwest China,eastern and southeastern South China,which reached its peak in mid-to-late February.Dust weather was abnormally frequent and intense,with six regional processes,three of which reached the sandstorm level;strong processes were concentrated in late February,affecting most areas in northern China and bringing strong winds,blowing sand,and severe sandstorms to many places.Circulation analysis showed that during the 2025/2026 winter,the 500 hPa geopotential height field over the mid-high latitudes of Eurasia was dominated by a zonal circulation,with a weak East Asian trough located westward and northward;most parts of China were controlled by a positive height anomaly,which favored the higher-than-normal winter temperature.Additionally,the two national-level cold waves in this season were driven by abnormal mid-high latitude circulation,where the abnormal polar vortex,active trough-ridge system,and southward accumulation of cold air jointly affected most parts of China.

冯爱青;朱晓金;章大全;洪海旭;陈逸骁;王国复;尹宜舟

国家气候中心,北京 100081||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,北京 100081国家气候中心,北京 100081||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,北京 100081国家气候中心,北京 100081||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,北京 100081国家气候中心,北京 100081||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,北京 100081国家气候中心,北京 100081||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,北京 100081国家气候中心,北京 100081||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,北京 100081国家气候中心,北京 100081||中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室,北京 100081||国家气候中心气候系统预测与变化应对全国重点实验室,北京 100081

天文与地球科学

气候特征天气气候事件冷空气干旱沙尘冬季

climate characteristicsweather and climate eventscold wavedroughtdustwinter

《气象科学》 2026 (2)

195-204,10

国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFF0809202)中国气象局气候预测研究重点开放实验室青年开放课题(26LCPS002)中国气象局青年创新团队"气象灾害风险评估"(CMA2023QN01)气候系统预测与变化应对全国重点实验室建设(CPRM-2025-NCC)

10.12306/2026jms.0009

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