热带云团的修正对流组织势与水汽、云—辐射的关系OA
Relationships between modified convective organization potential of tropical cloud clusters and water vapor cloud and radiation
云解析模式中的对流自聚集现象揭示热带深对流具有自组织性及其对全球气候可能存在重要影响.然而,目前关于现实中对流聚集状态与理想模拟的自聚集现象之间关联的认识仍不明确.本文引入云团面积权重因素,对前人衡量对流组织化程度的方法(对流组织势,Convective Organization Potential,COP)进行了改进,定义了一个新变量,即改进的对流组织势(Modified COP,MCOP).相比于原有的 COP 指标,MCOP 在衡量云团聚集程度时对云团截断面积和数据的空间分辨率等非物理因素的依赖性显著降低.利用向日葵系列卫星的红外亮温与 ERA5 再分析资料,在热带印—太暖池区域逐10°×10°网格区域上进行了合成分析.结果表明:在同等对流强度下,当对流更聚集时,对应的区域平均水汽场更干燥,主要原因是对流外环境如干区对流层中层自由大气异常干燥.更聚集的对流具有更强的冷核、相对更少的较暖云砧和更大的晴空区域,导致区域平均的出射长波辐射更高.MCOP 与关键物理场(如,水汽、辐射)的相关性高于 COP,合成分析结果显示水汽与出射长波辐射对 MCOP 的敏感度相对 COP 提升约23.0%和14.8%.
The convective self-aggregation observed in cloud resolving model simulations suggests that the tropical deep convection may self-organize have significant impacts on global climate.However,there is still a lack of understanding on convective aggregation in nature and how it is to associated with convective self-aggregation in idealized simulations.In order to improve the previous method of measuring the degree of convective organization(Convective Organization Potential,COP),a new index namely the Modified Convective Organization Potential(MCOP)was introduced,which considering the cloud cluster area weighting.Compared to COP,MCOP significantly reduces its dependence on non-physical factors such as arbitrarily defined thresholds of the cloud cluster size and spatial resolution of data when measuring the degree of cloud cluster aggregation.Using the infrared brightness temperature of the Himawari geostationary satellites and ERA5 reanalysis data,the relationships between MCOP and the water vapor,cloud and radiation effects are investigated over the 10°×10° domains in the Indo-Pacific warm poolregion.Results indicate that under the same domain-mean convective intensity,more aggregated convective states are associated with drier domain-mean atmosphere,mainly because of the drying of 500-850 hPa of environment atmosphere outside the convective area.More aggregated convection tends to have relatively colder deep cores,fewer anvil clouds and larger clear sky area,and thus results in higher domain-mean Outgoing Longwave Radiation(OLR).MCOP is better correlated(above 95%confidence level)with above moisture and OLR quantities as compared with COP.The composite results show that moisture/OLR are 23.0%/14.8%more sensitive to ranks of MCOP than that of COP.
陈逸凡;袁健
南京大学 大气科学学院,南京 210023南京大学 大气科学学院,南京 210023
天文与地球科学
对流聚集对流组织势热带云团云和辐射
convective aggregationconvective organization potentialtropical cloud clustercloud and radiation
《气象科学》 2026 (2)
103-112,10
国家自然科学基金面上资助项目(41875004)
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