热带气旋强度减弱的环境因子及物理机制研究进展综述OA
A review of recent research progress on the environmental factors and physical mechanisms of tropical cyclone intensity weakening
热带气旋(Tropical Cyclone,TC)的强度变化是影响其灾害程度的核心因素之一,当前对其减弱过程的认识仍显不足,因此系统综述了TC减弱的环境因子与物理机制.首先,梳理了定义TC减弱的一般方法及不同洋盆对该定义的差异.其次,剖析了影响减弱的关键因子的影响机制:海洋通过降低海表温度、增强海温梯度及冷尾流反馈削弱能量供给;垂直风切变通过诱发涡旋倾斜和通风效应破坏暖心结构;陆地通过增大粗糙度加剧摩擦耗散,并通过干燥过程切断能量来源;气溶胶通过辐射与云相互作用多途径影响强度变化;高空槽、季风系统及双台风相互作用多尺度天气系统通过耦合多种不利因子诱发TC减弱.最后,总结了气候尺度下TC减弱的长期趋势,即全球强TC衰减阶段加速,西北太平洋减弱速率上升.未来,还需深化多尺度相互作用认知,发展高分辨率耦合模式与人工智能融合方法,以提升对TC减弱的预报能力,为防灾减灾提供科学支撑.
Changes in tropical cyclone(TC)intensity are a critical determinant of their destructive potential.However,our understanding of TC weakening processes remains limited.This paper systematically reviews the environmental factors and physical mechanisms governing TC intensity decay.First,the definition of TC weakening and the differences in rapid weakening definitions across ocean basins are presented.Then,the major environmental factors responsible for TC weakening and the associated physical mechanisms are overviewed.The ocean reduces the energy supply by decreasing sea surface temperatures(SST),enhancing horizontal SST gradients,and triggering cold wake feedback mechanisms.Vertical wind shear disrupts the warm-core structure by inducing vortex tilt and ventilation effects.Land surfaces accelerate weakening by increasing surface roughness to enhance frictional dissipation and by cutting off energy sources through drying processes.Aerosols modulate TC intensity changes through aerosol-radiation interactions and aerosol-cloud interactions via multiple pathways.Multiscale weather systems,including upper-level troughs,monsoon systems,and binary TC interactions,trigger TC weakening by coupling multiple adverse factors.Finally,the long-term trends of TC weakening on climatic scales are summarized.The decay process of global major TCs has accelerated,and the TC weakening rate over the western North Pacific has increased.Future research needs to deepen the understanding of multiscale interactions and develop high-resolution coupled models integrated with artificial intelligence approaches to improve TC weakening forecast capability,thereby providing scientific support for disaster prevention and mitigation.
张茜雅;顾剑峰
灾害天气科学与技术全国重点实验室,中尺度灾害性天气教育部重点实验室,南京大学大气科学学院,南京,210023灾害天气科学与技术全国重点实验室,中尺度灾害性天气教育部重点实验室,南京大学大气科学学院,南京,210023
天文与地球科学
热带气旋强度减弱环境因子物理机制
tropical cycloneintensity weakeningenvironmental factorsphysical mechanism
《南京大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026 (3)
335-346,12
国家自然科学基金(42575010)
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