农业新质生产力与农业现代化耦合协调发展研究OA
Research on the Coupled and Coordinated Development of New Qualitative Productive Forces in Agriculture and Agricultural Modernizatio
"十五五"期间,农业新质生产力成为推动农业现代化的核心动力,二者之间的耦合协调关系是农业高质量发展的核心研究议题.本研究基于 2011-2023 年全国 30 个省份的面板数据,构建涵盖数智、创新与绿色三维度的农业新质生产力评价体系,以及包含投入、产出与社会三层面的农业现代化评价指标体系,通过熵值法与耦合协调模型实证分析二者的耦合协调关系.研究发现:农业现代化发展呈现"平稳增长—局部跃升—结构性调整"三段式演进特征,区域差异显著;农业新质生产力保持持续快速增长态势,区域间梯度分布格局稳定;二者耦合协调度呈阶梯式上升趋势,整体从"轻度失调"逐步演进至"濒临失调",2020年为重要转折节点,区域协调水平呈现东部最高、西部最低的格局.本研究揭示了二者耦合的内在机理与动态演变规律,构建的评价体系与提出的优化路径可为推动农业高质量发展、加快建设农业强国提供理论依据与实践参考.
During the"15th Five-Year Plan"period,new agricultural productivity has become the core driving force for agricultural modernization,and the coupling and coordination relationship between the two has become the core driving force.It is the core research topic of high-quality agricultural development.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces across the country from 2011 to 2023,this study constructs an evaluation system for new agricultural pro-ductivity covering the three dimensions of digital intelligence,innovation and green,as well as an evaluation index sys-tem for agricultural modernization including input,output and society.The results show that the development of agri-cultural modernization shows the characteristics of"steady growth,local leap,and structural adjustment",with signifi-cant regional differences.The new agricultural productivity maintained a sustained and rapid growth trend,and the gradient distribution pattern between regions was stable.The coupling coordination degree of the two shows a stepwise upward trend,gradually evolving from"mild imbalance"to"endangered imbalance",and 2020 is an important turning point,and the regional coordination level shows the highest pattern in the east and the lowest in the west.This study reveals the internal mechanism and dynamic evolution law of the coupling between the two,and the construction of the evaluation system and the proposed optimization path can provide theoretical basis and practical reference for promoting high-quality agricultural development and accelerating the construction of an agricultural power.
张凯文;谯英康
重庆三峡科技大学财经学院 重庆 404100重庆三峡科技大学财经学院 重庆 404100
管理科学
农业新质生产力农业现代化熵值法耦合协调模型
new agricultural productivityagricultural modernizationentropy value methodcoupling coordination model
《现代农业研究》 2026 (4)
1-7,15,8
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