首页|期刊导航|气象与环境学报|北方单作区马铃薯高温干旱及其复合事件的时空变化趋势

北方单作区马铃薯高温干旱及其复合事件的时空变化趋势OA

Spatiotemporal variation trends of high temperature,drought,and their compound events of potato in the North Single planting region

中文摘要英文摘要

气候变暖对北方单作区马铃薯生产造成严重的负面影响.本文基于该区域 676 个气象站 1961-2020 年气象数据,使用水分亏缺指数(CWDI)、热积温(HDD)和高温干旱复合指数(CHDI)定量分析了马铃薯不同生育阶段高温干旱及其复合事件的时空变化趋势.结果表明:北方单作区马铃薯生育期内CWDI自西向东逐渐降低,块茎形成阶段的干旱胁迫程度最高,1991-2020 年全区平均CWDI较1961-1990 年有所下降.马铃薯全生育期HDD随纬度升高而降低,青海、辽宁和黑龙江马铃薯生育期HDD低于其他地区,1991-2020 年马铃薯生育期内的HDD较 1961-1990 年增加了 25%~38%.青海和东北地区的马铃薯较少受高温干旱复合事件的影响,其他地区马铃薯高温干旱复合强度等级多为轻度和中度,新疆、陕西和河北马铃薯高温干旱复合强度等级以中度和重度为主.气候变暖使该区马铃薯受高温干旱复合影响的面积增加了64%,而重度高温干旱复合事件的发生面积增加了93%.除新疆外,全区马铃薯产量与营养生长阶段CWDI及块茎形成阶段HDD和CHDI均呈显著负相关关系(P<0.05).本文研究结果可为气候变暖背景下北方单作区马铃薯规避气候风险和保证产量稳定提供科学参考.

Climate warming had a significant adverse impact on potato growing in the North Single planting re-gion.Based on the meteorological data from 676 stations during 1961-2020 and potato phenology information,this study quantified the spatiotemporal trends of high temperatures,droughts,and their compound events across differ-ent growth periods of potato in the North Single planting region by using the crop water deficit index(CWDI),heat degree days(HDD),and compound heat-drought index(CHDI).Results indicate that the CWDI during the whole growth period of potato in North Single planting region gradually decreases from west to east.The CWDI during tuber formation period is higher than during the vegetative growth period and tuber bulking period.The av-erage CWDI during 1991-2020 shows a decrease trend compared to that during 1961-1990.The HDD during the whole growth period of potato generally decreases with increasing latitude.The HDD in Qinghai,Liaoning,and Heilongjiang is lower than in other regions.From 1991-2020,the HDD during the vegetative growth,tuber forma-tion,and tuber bulking period of potato in the region increased by 25-38%compared to the 1961-1990 period.Po-tato planted in Qinghai and northeastern China are less affected by compound heat-drought events,while the inten-sity of compound heat-drought event is typically slight and moderate in other regions.However,the intensity of compound heat-drought event in Xinjiang,Shaanxi,and Hebei are predominantly moderate and severe.Climate warming have increaded the area naffected by compound heat-drought events for potato planting in this region by 64%,while the area experiencing severe compound heat-drought events has increased by 93%.Excluding Xin-jiang,potato yields in North Single planting region exhibit a significant negative correlation with the CWDI during the vegetative growth period and the HDD and CHDI during the tuber formation period(P<0.05).This study quantifies the spatiotemporal trends of drought,high temperature,and the compound heat-drought event across vari-ous growth periods of potato in North Single planting region,and providing scientific insights to support climate risk avoidance and yield stability of potato under climate warming.

李扬;王靖;王培娟;张源达;马雪晴;尹红

沈阳农业与生态气象研究院,北京 100081中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京 100193沈阳农业与生态气象研究院,北京 100081沈阳农业与生态气象研究院,北京 100081中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京 100081国家气候中心,北京 100081

农业科技

水分亏缺指数热积温高温干旱复合事件马铃薯北方单作区

CWDIHeat degree dayCompound heat-drought eventPotatoNorth Single planting region

《气象与环境学报》 2026 (1)

20-32,13

国家自然青年科学基金项目(42505191)、中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2026QA12)、中国气象科学研究院基本科研业务费专项基金项目(2024Y011、2023Z014)和中国气象局农业气象重点创新团队(CMA2024ZD02)共同资助.

10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2026.01.003

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