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伊犁州旅游业对区域经济影响的实证研究OA

The Empirical Analysis on the Economic Impact of Developing Tourism Industry in Ili Kazak Autonomous Prefecture

中文摘要英文摘要

运用旅游收入依存度、旅游收入对第三产业的贡献率、旅游收入对经济的贡献率、旅游收入拉动经济的增长率、旅游需求收入弹性、灰色关联度定量评价了 2010~2024 年伊犁州旅游业对区域经济的影响,其结论如下:(1)阿勒泰地区和伊犁州直属县(市)地区生产总值对旅游业的依存度逐年增大,旅游业在国民经济中的重要地位越发凸显;塔城地区地区生产总值对旅游业的依存度变化不明显.(2)除了个别年份,大部分年份阿勒泰地区旅游收入对第三产业的贡献率、旅游收入对经济的贡献率、旅游收入拉动经济的增长居于第一位,伊犁州直属县(市)居于第二位,塔城地区处于第三位.(3)除了个别年份外,大部分年份阿勒泰地区和伊犁州直属县(市)、塔城地区弹性系数均大于 1,说明阿勒泰地区、伊犁州直属县(市)、塔城地区对游客的吸引力较大.(4)阿勒泰地区与三次产业的关联度均大于伊犁州直属县(市)和塔城地区,位居第一,伊犁州直属县(市)、塔城地区与第一产业和第二产业的关联度相同,塔城地区与第三产业的关联度大于伊犁州直属县(市).

The thesis analyzes the impact of tourism on the economy in Ili Kazak Autonomous Prefecture from 2010 to 2024 by using tourism revenue dependence,the contribution rate of tourism revenue to the tertiary in-dustry,the contribution rate of tourism revenue to the economy,the growth rate of tourism revenue driving the economy,the income elasticity of tourism demand,and grey correlation degree.The conclusions are as fol-lows:(1)The dependence of the gross regional produc of Altay Administrative Offices and Counties(Cities)Direct Under Ili Prefecture on tourism has been increasing year by year,and the important position of tourism in the national economy has become more prominent,The dependence of the gross regional product on tourism in Tacheng[Tarbagatai]Administrative Offices has not changed significantly.(2)Except for a few years,in most years,the contribution rate of tourism revenue to the tertiary industry,the contribution rate of tourism revenue to the economy,and the economic growth driven by tourism revenue in Altay Administrative Offices rank first,Counties(Cities)Direct Under Ili Prefecture rarked second,and Tacheng[Tarbagatai]Administra-tive Offices ranked third.(3)Except for a few years,the elasticity coefficients of Altay Administrative Offices,Counties(Cities)Direct Under Ili Prefecture and Tacheng[Tarbagatai]Administrative Offices are all greater than l in most years,indicating that they are more attractive to tourists.(4)Altay Administrative Offices has a higher degree of association with the three industries than Counties(Cities)Direct Under Ili Prefecture and Tacheng[Tarbagatai]Administrative Offices,ranking first.Ili Prefecture and Tacheng[Tarbagatai]Adminis-trative Offices,have the same degree of association with the primary and secondary industries,while Tacheng[Tarbagatai]Administrative Offices has a higher degree of association with the tertiary industry than Counties(Cities)Direct Under Ili Prefecture.

马燕

新疆应用职业技术学院,新疆 奎屯 833200

管理科学

旅游业区域经济经济影响伊犁州

Tourism industryRegional economicsEconomic impactIli Kazak Autonomous Prefecture

《辽宁农业科学》 2026 (3)

11-16,6

伊犁哈萨克自治州科技计划项目(YJC2023A09)

10.3969/j.issn.1002-1728.2026.03.002

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