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多时间尺度气温暴露的健康效应研究进展OA

Progress in research on the health effects of multi-temporal scale temperature exposure

中文摘要英文摘要

全球气候变化导致地表温度持续升高及极端天气事件频发,气温暴露已成为威胁人类健康的重要环境风险因素.目前环境流行病学研究在评估气温健康效应时,用到了小时气温、日平均气温、长期平均温度及气温变异等覆盖多时间维度的暴露评估指标.这些指标虽然从不同角度证实了气温暴露的健康危害,但现有评估体系依然缺乏对暴露指标的系统性整合.本文系统梳理气温短期暴露、长期暴露、气温波动等指标的健康效应与病理生理机制,阐明短期暴露主要引发急性生理失代偿,而长期暴露可造成慢性健康损害不断累积.最后,从跨时间尺度的视角,探讨了长期气候基线与短期气温变化之间的内在数理关系,为构建综合性气候健康风险评估框架提供方法学的参考.

Driven by global climate changes,the continuous rise in ambient temperatures and the increased frequency of extreme weather events have rendered temperature exposure a critical environmental risk threat-ening human health.Current environmental epidemiological studies evaluating the health effects of tempera-ture employ exposure assessment metrics that span multiple temporal dimensions,including daily mean tem-perature,hourly temperature,long-term average temperature,and temperature variability.While these metrics have substantiated the adverse health impacts of temperature exposure from various perspectives,existing as-sessment frameworks are still in lack of a systematic integration of these exposure indicators.This paper sys-tematically reviewed the health effects and pathophysiological mechanisms associated with metrics such as short-term temperature exposure,long-term exposure,and temperature fluctuations,elucidating that a short-term exposure primarily triggers acute physiological decompensation,whereas a long-term exposure leads to a continuous accumulation of chronic health impairments.Finally,from a cross-temporal perspective,this paper attempted to explore the intrinsic mathematical relationship between long-term climate baselines and short-term temperature variations,thereby providing a methodological reference for establishing a comprehensive climate-health risk assessment framework.

刘恒毅;薛涛

北京大学 公共卫生学院生育健康研究所/国家卫生健康委生育健康重点研究室,北京 100191北京大学 公共卫生学院生育健康研究所/国家卫生健康委生育健康重点研究室,北京 100191

医药卫生

气候变化多尺度暴露日平均气温气温变异健康风险流行病学

climate changesmulti-scale exposuredaily mean temperaturetemperature variabilityhealth riskepidemiology

《兰州大学学报(医学版)》 2026 (3)

1-8,8

国家自然科学基金会面上资助项目(42375179)西藏自治区科技计划资助项目(XZ202501ZY0072)

10.13885/j.issn.2097-681X.T20260033

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