DCE-MRI定量参数与鼻腔鼻窦恶性肿瘤Ki-67标记指数的相关性及预测价值研究OA
Correlation and predictive value of quantitative DCE-MRI parameters and Ki-67 labeling index in sinonasal malignant neoplasm
目的 探讨鼻腔鼻窦恶性肿瘤(SNM)动态对比增强 MRI(DCE-MRI)定量参数与 Ki-67 标记指数(Ki-67 LI)的相关性,并评估DCE-MRI定量参数在判断SNM生物学行为中的价值.方法 回顾性收集经术后病理证实的SNM病人86例.所有病人术前均行常规MRI平扫及DCE-MRI检查,使用Toft两室药代动力学模型,计算DCE-MRI定量参数[容量转移常数(Ktrans)、速率常数(kep)及血管外细胞外间隙容积分数(ve)].术后病理完成Ki-67免疫组化检测.以50%为Ki-67 LI截断值,将病人分为低Ki-67 LI组(41例)和高Ki-67 LI组(45例).根据MRI检查设备的不同,将病人分为训练集(49例)和验证集(37例).2组间定量参数比较采用t检验、Mann-Whitney U检验或卡方检验.采用Spearman相关分析DCE-MRI定量参数与Ki-67 LI 的相关性.将组间比较差异有统计学意义的定量参数纳入多因素Logistic回归分析,并构建Ki-67 LI预测模型.采用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评估模型的预测效能,并计算曲线下面积(AUC).结果 训练集和验证集中高Ki-67 LI组SNM的Ktrans、kep值均高于低 Ki-67 LI组(P<0.05),2组间ve值差异无统计学意义(P>0.05).Ktrans、kep与Ki-67 LI呈正相关(均P<0.05),ve与Ki-67 LI无相关性(P>0.05).多因素Logistic回归分析显示Ktrans、kep是预测SNM中高Ki-67 LI的独立预测因子,使用Ktrans 和kep构建Ki-67 LI预测模型.ROC曲线分析显示,训练集中预测模型的AUC为0.735(95%CI:0.589~0.881),敏感度为75.0%,特异度为71.4%;验证集中预测模型的AUC为0.765(95%CI:0.607~0.922),敏感度为64.7%,特异度为85.0%.模型的效能均较好(均AUC>0.73).结论 基于DCE-MRI 定量参数Ktrans、kep构建的预测模型可用于评估SNM的生物学行为.
Objective To investigate the correlation between quantitative parameters of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI(DCE-MRI)and the Ki-67 labeling index(Ki-67 LI)in sinonasal malignant neoplasm(SNM),and to evaluate the value of DCE-MRI quantitative parameters in assessing the biological behavior of SNM.Methods A total of 86 patients with SNM confirmed by postoperative pathology were retrospectively collected.All patients underwent routine MRI and DCE-MRI before surgery.The Tofts two-compartment pharmacokinetic model was used to calculate DCE-MRI quantitative parameters,including volume transfer constant(Ktrans),rate constant(kep),and extracellular extravascular volume fraction(ve).Postoperative pathological specimens were analyzed using Ki-67 immunohistochemical staining.Using a cutoff value of 50%for Ki-67 LI,patients were divided into a low Ki-67 LI group(41 cases)and a high Ki-67 LI group(45 cases).According to different MRI scanners used,patients were divided into a training set(49 cases)and a validation set(37 cases).Comparisons between groups were performed using the t-test,Mann-Whitney U test,or chi-square test.Spearman correlation analysis was used to evaluate the correlation between DCE-MRI quantitative parameters and Ki-67 LI.Quantitative parameters with statistically significant differences between groups were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis to construct a predictive model for Ki-67 LI.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the model,and the area under the curve(AUC)was calculated.Results In both the training and validation sets,Ktrans and kep values in the high Ki-67 LI group were higher than those in the low Ki-67 LI group(all P<0.05),while there was no statistically significant difference in ve values between the two groups(both P>0.05).Ktrans and kep were positively correlated with Ki-67 LI(both P<0.05),whereas ve showed no correlation with Ki-67 LI(P>0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that Ktrans and kep were independent predictors of high Ki-67 LI in SNM,and a predictive model for Ki-67 LI was constructed based on these parameters.ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the predictive model in the training set was 0.735(95%CI:0.589-0.881),with a sensitivity of 75.0%and specificity of 71.4%;in the validation set,the AUC was 0.765(95%CI:0.607-0.922),with a sensitivity of 64.7%and specificity of 85.0%.The model demonstrated good performance(AUC>0.73 in both sets).Conclusion The predictive model based on DCE-MRI quantitative parameters Ktrans and kep can be used to evaluate the biological behavior of SNM.
段乃靖;王童语;王振宁;刘晨浩;周锐志;郝大鹏
青岛大学附属医院放射科,青岛 266003青岛大学附属医院放射科,青岛 266003青岛大学附属医院放射科,青岛 266003青岛大学附属医院放射科,青岛 266003青岛大学附属医院放射科,青岛 266003青岛大学附属医院放射科,青岛 266003
医药卫生
鼻腔鼻窦恶性肿瘤Ki-67动态对比增强磁共振成像预测模型
Sinonasal malignant tumorsKi-67Dynamic contrast-enhancedMagnetic resonance imagingPrediction model
《国际医学放射学杂志》 2026 (3)
253-258,6
国家自然科学基金项目(82472067)山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2024MH016)
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