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基于MaxEnt的青藏高原细石器人群时空分布演变研究OA

Spatiotemporal distribution evolution of the microlithic populations on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau based on MaxEnt

中文摘要英文摘要

青藏高原的极端环境对人类生存构成了巨大挑战,而古人类在青藏高原的生存一直是学界关注的焦点.细石器作为青藏高原分布最广且最具代表性的史前人类遗存之一,是史前高原人群的生产生活方式的重要体现物,有着特殊的研究价值与意义.以细石器主要分布的旧石器末期(15-6 ka BP)作为研究时期,以细石器遗址点作为分布点,结合环境因素,运用最大熵模型(Max-Ent)对青藏高原细石器人群的分布范围进行模拟预测.结果表明:(1)15-14 ka BP:适生区主要分布于青藏高原东部边缘、四川西部及雅鲁藏布江河谷地带.(2)14-12 ka BP:适生区主要沿河湟谷地至西藏北部(简称藏北)一线以及雅鲁藏布江上游地区分布.相较于前一阶段明显扩大,藏北、青海南部(简称青南)地区扩张最为显著.(3)12-10 ka BP:除雅鲁藏布江上游及藏北地区适生区较为稳定外,其他地区的适生区均有大面积缩小,青南、河湟谷地地区尤为明显.(4)10-8 ka BP:受全新世大暖期影响,青藏高原部分地区适生面积快速扩张,东北部尤为明显.但藏北地区的适生面积却有大幅度缩小.(5)8-6 ka BP:除青海湖-河湟谷地外,其他地区的高度适生区均有较大程度萎缩,但总体分布范围变化不大.而低度适生区有一定的增长,超过10%.总的来说,各区域在不同时期变化较大,但总体适生区面积相对稳定.不同于以往对单个遗址点的分析探究,本研究采用最大熵模型进行多点位的综合系统探究,为青藏高原人类活动研究提供新思路.

Human survival has been challenged by the extreme environment of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,and the existence of ancient humans on the plateau has long been a focal point of academic attention.As one of the most widely distributed and representative prehistoric human remains on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,microliths are considered important reflections of the production and living patterns of prehistoric plateau populations,hold-ing special research value and significance.This study analyzes the late Paleolithic period(15-6 ka Before Pres-ent),when microliths are mainly distributed as the research period,uses microlithic site locations as distribution points,combines relevant environmental factors,and employs the MaxEnt model to dynamically simulate and de-termine the distribution range of microlithic populations on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.The results reveal that(1)During 15-14 ka BP,suitable habitats were mainly distributed in the eastern margins of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau,western Sichuan,and the Yarlung Zangbo River valley.(2)During 14-12 ka BP,suitable habitats were primarily distributed along the Huangshui Valley to the north Xizang line and the upper reaches of the Yarlung Zangbo River,expanding significantly compared to the previous stage,with the most notable expansion occurring in north Xizang and southern Qinghai.(3)During 12-10 ka BP,except for the relatively stable suitable habitats in the upper reaches of the Yarlung Zangbo River and north Xizang,suitable habitats in other regions shrank sig-nificantly,particularly in southern Qinghai and the Huangshui Valley.(4)During 10-8 ka BP,influenced by the Holocene climatic optimum,the suitable habitat area in the plateau expanded rapidly,particularly in the northeast-ern region.However,the suitable habitat area in north Xizang substantially decreased.(5)During 8-6 ka BP,ex-cept for the Qinghai Lake-Huangshui Valley area,highly suitable areas in other regions significantly shrank;how-ever,the overall distribution range changed slightly.Meanwhile,the lowly suitable areas increased by>10%.In general,each region showed significant changes in different periods;however,the overall suitable habitat area re-mained relatively stable.Different from previous studies focusing on single sites,this study uses the MaxEnt mod-el for a comprehensive and systematic exploration of multiple sites,offering new perspectives for research on hu-man activities on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.

何家豪;侯光良;敖民;唐中华;石洪飞

青海师范大学地理科学学院,青海 西宁 810008青海师范大学地理科学学院,青海 西宁 810008||青海省自然地理地表过程环境实验室,青海 西宁 810008青海师范大学地理科学学院,青海 西宁 810008青海师范大学地理科学学院,青海 西宁 810008青海师范大学地理科学学院,青海 西宁 810008

细石器最大熵模型人群分布时空演变青藏高原

microlithicMaxEnt modelpopulation distributionspatiotemporal evolutionQinghai-Xizang Pla-teau

《干旱区地理》 2026 (5)

987-997,11

青海省科技厅自然科学基金项目(2025-ZJ-943M)资助

10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.235

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