基于CNN-BiLSTM的水利工程混凝土防渗墙加固土坝变形预测研究OA
Deformation Prediction of Reinforced Earth Dams with Concrete Seepage Walls in Water Conservancy Engineering Based on CNN-BiLSTM
在坝体变形预测中,由于测点位移时序数据中隐含的混沌特征与长程依赖性,增强了空间相关性与多尺度变形机理的捕捉难度,纯空间卷积模型难以解析时序动态演化规律,易引发预测误差的累积传播.该研究提出基于卷积神经网络-双向长短期记忆网络(CNN-BiLSTM)的水利工程混凝土防渗墙加固土坝变形预测方法:首先,借助层次凝聚聚类(HAC)算法,根据欧氏距离构建测点相似性矩阵,并采用 ward方差最小化准则逐层合并距离最小的簇,自适应识别变形模式相似的空间区域.然后,将分区数据重构为二维张量,利用卷积层的局部感受野与权值共享机制提取局部空间特征,再采用全局平均池化操作压缩特征图,提取出土坝监测数据的空间特征.最后,将提取到的全局特征向量与测点位移、水压力等时序数据拼接,构建输入序列,借助BiLSTM 的前后双向循环结构同步捕捉长期依赖关系与短期波动特征,其门控机制动态调节历史信息与当前输入的权重分配,有效抑制混沌时序中的噪声干扰.结合历史变形趋势与上下文信息,利用全连接层输出下一时刻的变形预测值,测试结果表明,采用提出的方法进行防渗墙加固土坝变形预测时,变形曲线贴近度均值为0.94,具备较为理想的预测效果.
In the prediction of dam deformation,the chaotic characteristics and long-range dependencies hidden in the displacement time series data of measuring points enhance the difficulty of capturing spatial correlation and multi-scale deformation mechanisms.Pure spatial convolution models are difficult to analyze the dynamic evolution laws of time series,which can easily lead to the accumulation and propagation of prediction errors.Therefore,this study proposes a deformation prediction method for reinforced earth dams with concrete impermeable walls in hydraulic engineering based on Convolutional Neural Network Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory(CNN BiLSTM).Firstly,using the Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering(HAC)algorithm,a similarity matrix of measurement points is constructed based on Euclidean distance,and the Ward variance minimization criterion is used to merge the clusters with the smallest distance layer by layer,adaptively identifying spatial regions with similar deformation patterns.Then,the partitioned data is reconstructed into a two-dimensional tensor,and local spatial features are extracted using the local receptive field and weight sharing mechanism of the convolutional layer.The feature map is compressed using global average pooling operation to extract spatial features of the dam monitoring data.Finally,the extracted global feature vectors are concatenated with time-series data such as displacement and water pressure at measurement points to construct an input sequence.The BiLSTM bidirectional loop structure is used to synchronously capture long-term dependencies and short-term fluctuation features.Its gating mechanism dynamically adjusts the weight allocation between historical information and current input,effectively suppressing noise interference in chaotic time-series.Combining historical deformation trends with contextual information,use a fully connected layer to output the predicted deformation value for the next moment.The test results show that when using the proposed method to predict the deformation of reinforced earth dams with impermeable walls,the average closeness of the deformation curve is 0.94,which has a relatively ideal prediction effect.
吴家汁
锦屏县供排水服务中心,贵州 黔东南苗族侗族自治州 556700
信息技术与安全科学
水利工程混凝土防渗墙加固土坝变形预测
water conservancy engineeringconcrete waterproof wallreinforced earth damdeformation prediction
《广东水利水电》 2026 (5)
18-23,6
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