基于地基GNSS资料的青海省典型强降水过程水汽特征OA
Characteristics of PWV during Typical Heavy Rainfall Events in Qinghai Based on Grourd-Based GNSS Data
基于2019-2022年青海省7个探空站资料建立本地化加权平均温度(Tm)模型,并据此反演该省42个GNSS站的大气可降水量(PWV),用以分析2022-08多次暴雨过程的水汽时空特征.结果表明:1)新建Tm模型平均偏差0.4 K,均方根误差3.41 K,精度显著优于Bevis模型及中国区域模型,且与单站模型精度相当;2)基于本地化Tm模型反演的GNSS PWV与探空PWV的系统偏差较小(相关系数0.98);3)强降水发生前,PWV会出现持续数小时的急剧增长,其3 h变化量(PWV*)维持正值,而弱降水前,PWV则呈波动变化;4)当区域内PWV数值大于34 mm,且PWV*为正值时,可能发生短时强降水,反之降水强度较低.
An empirical atmospheric weighted average temperature(Tm)model for Qinghai was estab-lished based on data from 7 radiosonde stations in Qinghai from 2019 to 2022.This model was then used to retrieve precipitable water vapor(PWV)from 42 GNSS stations in the province for analyzing the spatiotemporal characteristics of water vapor during multiple heavy rainfall processes in August 2022.The results show that:1)The newly established Tm model has a mean bias of 0.4 K and a root mean square error(RMSE)of 3.41 K,indicating its accuracy is significantly superior to the Bevis model and China-regional models,while being comparable to that of the single-station models.2)The GNSS PWV retrieved based on the localized Tm model highly agrees with radiosonde results(correla-tion coefficient of 0.98).3)Before heavy rainfall occurs,PWV exhibits a rapid increase sustained for several hours,and its 3-hour variation(PWV*)remains positive,whereas before weak rainfall,PWV shows fluctuating changes.4)Short-term heavy rainfall is likely to occur when the regional PWV value exceeds 34 mm and PWV* is positive;conversely,rainfall intensity is lower.
余洋;万蓉;何明琼;付志康;王华;刘冲
中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所,武汉,430205||中国气象局流域暴雨重点开放实验室/暴雨监测预警湖北省重点实验室,武汉,430205中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所,武汉,430205||中国气象局流域暴雨重点开放实验室/暴雨监测预警湖北省重点实验室,武汉,430205湖北省气象服务中心,武汉,430205中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所,武汉,430205||中国气象局流域暴雨重点开放实验室/暴雨监测预警湖北省重点实验室,武汉,430205湖北省气象信息与技术保障中心,武汉,430074中国气象局地球系统数值预报中心,北京,100081
天文与地球科学
GNSS气象学加权平均温度大气可降水量青海强降水
GNSS meteorologyweighted average temperatureprecipitable water vaporheavy rain in Qinghai
《大地测量与地球动力学》 2026 (5)
569-578,10
青海省科技成果转化专项(2023-SF-111)湖北省气象局科研项目(2025Y08)中国气象局气溶胶与云降水重点实验室开放课题(KDW2413)
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