燃料电池寿命混合预测方法综述OA
Review of hybrid prediction methods for fuel cell lifespan forecasting
燃料电池因转换效率高、运行稳定和对环境友好,在多个领域广泛应用,但其性能会随着使用而逐渐衰退,剩余使用寿命(remaining useful life,RUL)的准确预测对于电池维护和寿命延长具有重要意义.混合预测方法是燃料电池寿命预测的重要方法,融合了物理模型和数据驱动模型的优势.简要介绍了单一模型驱动和数据驱动RUL预测方法;重点分析了混合预测方法的主要混合策略,论述了不同策略的优缺点.通过评述模型与数据、数据与数据的主流混合策略的现有研究成果,得出两种混合策略各有优势:模型与数据的混合预测策略增强了预测的精度和泛化能力,但因复杂的混合框架导致了更高的计算复杂度;数据与数据混合预测策略在保持良好预测精度的同时简化了模型、提高了计算效率,但也存在数据依赖度高和物理解释性差等问题.总结了混合预测方法在提高RUL预测精度和可靠性方面的优势,并对混合预测方法进行了展望,为燃料电池的RUL研究提供参考.
Fuel cells find extensive application across multiple sectors due to their high conversion effi-ciency,operational stability,and environmental friendliness.However,their performance gradually degrades with use,making the accurate prediction of their remaining useful life(RUL)crucial for maintenance and lifespan extension.Hybrid prediction methods represent a significant approach in fuel cell lifespan forecasting,combining the strengths of physical models and data-driven models.This paper first briefly introduces single model-driven and data-driven RUL prediction methods.It then focuses on analysing the primary hybridisation strategies within hybrid prediction methods,dis-cussing the advantages and disadvantages of different approaches.By reviewing existing research on mainstream hybridisation strategies—model-data and data-data hybridisation—the study finds both approaches possess distinct strengths:model-data hybridisation enhances prediction accuracy and generalisation capability,yet incurs higher computational complexity due to its intricate framework;while data-data hybrid prediction simplifies modelling and improves computational efficiency while maintaining good prediction accuracy,it suffers from high data dependency and poor physical inter-pretability.Finally,the paper summarises the advantages of hybrid prediction methods in enhancing RUL prediction accuracy and reliability,along with their development trends,thereby providing ro-bust support for RUL research in fuel cells.
肖燕;张俊;贾秋红;陈豪烽;张绮
重庆理工大学机械工程学院,重庆 400054重庆理工大学机械工程学院,重庆 400054重庆理工大学机械工程学院,重庆 400054重庆理工大学机械工程学院,重庆 400054重庆理工大学机械工程学院,重庆 400054
信息技术与安全科学
燃料电池剩余使用寿命混合预测方法
fuel cellremaining useful lifehybrid prediction method
《电源技术》 2026 (5)
799-809,11
重庆市技术创新与应用发展专项重点项目(csjc2019jscx-fxydX0020)重庆理工大学研究生教育高质量发展项目(gzlcx20253028)
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