汇率波动对中俄水产品贸易的影响研究OA
Research on the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on global aquatic product trade:taking Sino-Russian as examples
全球水产品市场竞争日益激烈,各国水产品质量标准和贸易壁垒变动增加了贸易复杂性,这种变化性和不确定性深刻影响渔业发展,其中汇率波动的作用尤为关键.本研究通过探讨汇率波动与贸易关系的理论关系,为水产品国际贸易实践提供了战略指导,可以为企业制定避险策略提供依据,促进贸易结构升级.本文通过构建贸易引力模型,结合中俄典型案例,运用回归分析等方法,解析了汇率波动对水产品贸易的直接影响及间接作用机制.研究发现,汇率波动不仅显著改变进出口价格,还深刻影响企业成本结构与国际投资决策.针对汇率波动带来的挑战,提出了包括提升抗风险能力、构建竞争新生态、增强非汇率风险防御等对策建议,帮助水产品外贸企业有效应对汇率波动,推动产业价值链攀升,为水产品贸易可持续发展提供系统性解决方案.
The global aquatic product market is witnessing increasingly intense competition.Shifts in aquatic product quality standards and trade barriers across countries have heightened the complexity of trade.Such variability and uncertainty exert a profound impact on the development of the fishery sector,with exchange rate fluctuations playing a particularly critical role.This study,by exploring the theoretical relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and trade,provides strategic guidance for the practice of international aquatic product trade,offering a basis for enterprises to formulate risk-avoidance strategies and promoting the upgrading of the trade structure.Through the construction of a trade gravity model and the combination of typical cases from China and Russia,this paper uses regression analysis and other methods to analyze the direct impact and indirect mechanism of exchange rate fluctuations on aquatic product trade.The research finds that exchange rate fluctuations not only significantly change import and export prices but also profoundly affect the cost structure of enterprises and international investment decisions.In response to the challenges brought by exchange rate fluctuations,this paper proposes countermeasures and suggestions including enhancing risk resistance capabilities,building a new competitive ecosystem,and strengthening the defense against non-exchange rate risks,to help aquatic product foreign trade enterprises effectively cope with exchange rate fluctuations,promote the upgrading of the industrial value chain,and provide a systematic solution for the sustainable development of aquatic product trade.
沈依彤;王世表
宁波工程学院 经济与管理学院,浙江宁波 315000宁波工程学院 经济与管理学院,浙江宁波 315000
管理科学
汇率波动贸易政策水产品贸易一带一路
exchange rate fluctuationstrade policyaquatic products tradeThe Belt and Road
《中国渔业经济》 2026 (5)
85-95,11
本文受2025年度浙江省级大学生创新创业训练计划项目S202511058033资助.
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