儿童原发性扩张型心肌病177例的临床特征及生存分析:病例系列报告OA
Clinical characteristics and survival analysis of 177 cases of primary dilated cardiomyopathy in children:a case series report
背景 扩张型心肌病(dilated cardiomyopathy,DCM)是导致儿童心力衰竭的主要原因之一,病情进展迅速,临床预后差异显著,儿童DCM的长期生存率仍不理想.目前我国缺乏相关的大样本、长期随访研究.目的 探讨儿童原发性DCM的临床特征、预后情况及其影响因素,为临床诊疗和预后评估提供依据.设计 病例系列报告.方法 纳入2008年1月至2024年6月在复旦大学附属儿科医院住院的原发性DCM患儿,随访至2024年9月30日.好转:心功能改善或左心室射血分数(left ventricular ejection fraction,LVEF)提高≥10%;平稳:心功能无变化且LVEF波动<10%;恶化:心功能下降或LVEF降低≥10%;死亡或移植:随访期间出现死亡或接受心脏移植.LVEF与心功能变化均指末次随访与首诊时的比较,LVEF数据基于超声心动图(echocardiography,Echo)检查结果.在Echo指标和治疗用药分析中,分为良好预后组(好转/平稳)与不良预后组(恶化/死亡或移植).采集患儿的人口学资料、临床表现、实验室与影像学检查结果及随访结局.采用Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线并比较组间生存率,使用Cox比例风险回归模型筛选预后危险因素,并构建ROC曲线评估各指标的预测效能.主要结局指标 死亡或接受心脏移植的复合终点.结果 177例患儿中,男91例(51.4%),女86例(48.6%),首诊中位年龄11(4.0,71.5)个月,其中≤1岁者96例(54.2%).随访结局:好转77例(43.5%)、平稳37例(20.9%)、恶化14例(7.9%)、死亡或移植49例(27.7%).N端脑钠肽前体(N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide,NT-proBNP)水平在不同预后组间差异有统计学意义(P<0.001),死亡或移植组中位数最高.Echo结果显示,不良预后组的LVEF显著低于良好预后组[(38.86±10.89)%vs.(42.65±12.31)%,P=0.048].心脏磁共振(cardiac magnetic resonance,CMR)检查发现,死亡或移植组左心室舒张末期容积指数(left ventricular end-diastolic volume index,LVEDVI)和左心室收缩末期容积指数(left ventricular end-systolic volume index,LVESVI)显著高于好转组(P分别为0.005和0.008).Echo与CMR测得的LVEF呈显著正相关(r=0.532,P<0.001),但一致性较差(95%一致性界限为-14.87%至30.21%).中位随访时间为23(2.5,74.0)个月,Kaplan-Meier生存率为1年78.0%、3年72.3%、5年70.1%、11年54.0%.多因素Cox回归分析显示,CMR测得的LVEDVI是DCM患儿发生死亡或心脏移植的独立危险因素(HR=1.104,95%CI:1.001~1.217,P<0.05).ROC分析显示,NT-proBNP与LVEDVI的联合预测模型AUC为0.779(95%CI:0.638~0.920,P<0.001),敏感度为94.1%,特异度为58.6%.基于该模型的风险评分分组显示,高风险组在1年内的生存率显著低于低风险组(P=0.002),且高风险组在1年内发生主要结局事件(死亡或心脏移植)的风险显著升高(HR=12.54,95%CI:1.66~94.70,P=0.014).结论 儿童原发性DCM以婴幼儿期发病为主,整体预后不良.CMR测得的LVEDVI是DCM患儿发生死亡或心脏移植的独立危险因素.NT-proBNP与LVEDVI联合构建的预测模型可有效识别高危患儿,具有潜在的临床筛查价值.临床评估左心室功能时,应注意不同影像学方法测得的LVEF可能存在差异.
Background Dilated cardiomyopathy(DCM)is one of the leading causes of heart failure in children,characterized by rapid disease progression and significant variability in clinical outcomes.The long-term survival rate for pediatric DCM remains poor,and large-sample,long-term follow-up studies are lacking in China.Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics,prognosis,and influencing factors of primary DCM in children,and to provide evidence for its clinical diagnosis,treatment,and prognosis assessment.Design Case series report.Methods This study included pediatric patients diagnosed with primary DCM admitted to Children's Hospital of Fudan University from January 2008 to June 2024,with follow-up until September 30,2024.The outcomes were classified as follows.Improvement:heart function improvement or an increase in left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)≥10%;stable:no change in heart function and LVEF fluctuation<10%;deterioration:heart function decline or LVEF decrease≥10%;death or transplantation:death or heart transplantation during follow-up.Heart function changes and LVEF were compared between the last follow-up and first diagnosis.The LVEF data were based on echocardiography(Echo)results.In the analysis of Echo indicators and treatment medications,patients were divided into good prognosis(improvement/stable)and poor prognosis(deterioration/death or transplantation)groups.Demographic data,clinical manifestations,laboratory and imaging results,and follow-up outcomes were collected.Kaplan-Meier survival curves were drawn to compare survival rates between groups,and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify prognostic risk factors.ROC curves were used to evaluate the predictive performance of various indicators.Main Outcome Measures A composite endpoint of death or heart transplantation.Results A total of 177 children were included,with 91 males(51.4%)and 86 females(48.6%).The median age at diagnosis was 11 months(range from 4.0 to 71.5 months),and 96 children(54.2%)were≤1 year old.The follow-up outcomes were as follows:77(43.5%)improved,37(20.9%)remained stable,14(7.9%)deteriorated,and 49(27.7%)underwent death or heart transplantation.N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP)levels differed significantly across prognostic groups(P<0.001),being highest in the death or transplant group.Echo results showed that the LVEF in the poor prognosis group was significantly lower than in the good prognosis group[(38.86±10.89)%vs.(42.65±12.31)%,P=0.048].Cardiac magnetic resonance(CMR)results revealed that left ventricular end-diastolic volume index(LVEDVI)and left ventricular end-systolic volume index(LVESVI)were significantly higher in the death or transplantation group compared to the improvement group(P=0.005 and P=0.008,respectively).Echo and CMR measurements of LVEF showed a significant positive correlation(r=0.532,P<0.001),but the consistency was poor(95%limits of agreement:-14.87%to 30.21%).The median follow-up time was 23(2.5,74.0)months,with Kaplan-Meier survival rates of 78.0%at 1 year,72.3%at 3 years,70.1%at 5 years,and 54.0%at 11 years.CMR-measured LVEDVI was an independent risk factor for death or heart transplantation in DCM children(HR=1.104,95%CI:1.001-1.217,P<0.05).ROC curve indicated that the combined NT-proBNP and LVEDVI model yielded an AUC of 0.779(95%CI:0.638-0.920,P<0.001),with 94.1%sensitivity and 58.6%specificity.The risk stratification based on this model showed that the survival rate of the high-risk group within one year was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group(P=0.002),and the risk of experiencing the primary endpoint event(death or heart transplantation)within one year was significantly higher in the high-risk group(HR=12.54,95%CI:1.66-94.70,P=0.014).Conclusion Pediatric primary DCM predominantly presents in infants and young children,with a generally poor prognosis.CMR-measured LVEDVI was an independent risk factor for death or heart transplantation in pediatric DCM.The combined prediction model of NT-proBNP and LVEDVI can effectively identify high-risk children and has potential clinical value for screening.Clinicians should be aware of potential differences in LVEF measurements obtained using different imaging methods when assessing left ventricular function.
刘嘉玲;王慧君;何岚;王凤;赵璐;赵趣鸣;林怡翔;储晨;刘芳
国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102国家儿童医学中心,复旦大学附属儿科医院心血管中心 上海,201102
儿童原发性扩张型心肌病临床预后生存率预测模型
Pediatric primary dilated cardiomyopathyClinical prognosisSurvival ratePrognostic model
《中国循证儿科杂志》 2026 (2)
100-110,11
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