沿海大型造船基地工程韧性评估技术研究进展OA

This paper,employing bibliometric and keyword analyses,reveals that research in coastal engineering has gradually shifted from single-hazard risk assessment to regional resilience and adaptability under multi-hazard scenarios.It systematically reviews advances in the development of resilience evaluation frameworks,summarizes multi-hazard probabilistic risk assessment processes based on nonlinear dynamic simulations,Copula functions,and Monte Carlo methods,and covers resilience enhancement strategies including multi-objective optimization design,novel structural systems,new materials,and intelligent monitoring technologies.It also highlights that current evaluation frameworks are complex,with significant multi-hazard coupling effects and high computational demands.Future research should integrate multi-scale analytical methods and leverage artificial intelligence(AI)and geographic information systems(GIS)technologies to enable intelligent risk prediction and dynamic assessment,thereby ensuring the safe operation and rapid recovery of large shipbuilding bases.