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基于组合赋权-TOPSIS的大功灌区水资源安全及障碍因子OA

Research on Water Resources Security and Obstacle Factors in the Dagong Irrigation District Based on Combined Weighting-TOPSIS

中文摘要英文摘要

为探究大功灌区水资源安全在气候变化、用水竞争及利用效率等多重压力下的状态与影响因素,构建了涵盖水资源、工程建设、生态和经济社会 4 个子系统的评价指标体系,采用序关系分析法(G1 法)与 CRITIC 法相结合的组合赋权方法,运用 TOPSIS方法进行评价,并通过障碍度模型识别影响安全状态的主要障碍因子.结果表明:2010-2020 年灌区水资源安全贴近度从 0.418波动上升至 0.613,安全等级由"临界安全"逐步上升至"较安全";不同阶段制约水资源安全的主导因子发生演变,早期主要障碍因子集中于工程建设子系统,中期转向水资源配置与用水效率,近期地下水超采成为最突出的障碍因子.在此基础上,提出了严格地下水超采管控、优化生活生产生态用水配置、加强工程节水改造与用水精细化管理等建议,为灌区水资源可持续利用与管理提供参考.

In order to investigate the status of water resources security and its influencing factors in the Dagong Irrigation District under multi-ple pressures such as climate change,water-use competition and utilization efficiency,an evaluation index system was constructed covering four subsystems:water resources,engineering construction,ecology and socioeconomics.A combined weighting method integrating the Order Relation Analysis Method(G1)method and the CRITIC method was adopted,and the TOPSIS model was used for evaluation.In addition,an obstacle degree model was applied to identify the major obstacle factors affecting the safety status.The results showed that:From 2010 to 2020,the closeness coefficient of water resources security in the irrigation district fluctuated upward from 0.418 to 0.613,and the security level gradually improved from"critical safety"to"relatively safe".The dominant factors constraining water resources security evolved across different stages.In the early stage,the main obstacles were concentrated in the engineering construction subsystem;In the middle stage,the focus shifted to water resources allocation and water-use efficiency;Recently,groundwater over-exploitation emerged as the most significant obstacle fac-tor.Based on these findings,recommendations are proposed including strict control of groundwater over-exploitation,optimization of water allocation among domestic,production and ecological uses,and the enhancement of engineering-based water-saving renovations and refined water management.These suggestions aim to provide references for the sustainable utilization and management of water resources in irrigation districts.

张修宇;宓金鹏;张兴胜;李雨;田志锋

水利部黄河流域水治理与水资源安全重点实验室,河南 郑州 450003||华北水利水电大学 水资源学院,河南 郑州 450046华北水利水电大学 水资源学院,河南 郑州 450046新乡黄河河务局 长垣黄河河务局,河南 长垣 453400华北水利水电大学 水资源学院,河南 郑州 450046黄河勘测规划设计研究院有限公司,河南 郑州 450003

建筑与水利

水资源安全序关系分析法CRITIC法TOPSIS方法障碍因子大功灌区

water resources securityOrder Relation Analysis MethodCRITIC MethodTOPSIS Methodobstacle factorDagong irrigation district

《人民黄河》 2026 (5)

66-71,6

水利部黄河流域水治理与水资源安全重点实验室研究基金资助项目(2023-SYSJJ-04)河南省重点研发专项(261111321600)河南省科技研发计划联合基金资助项目(232103810102)水利部黄河泥沙重点实验室开放课题(HHNS202005)河南省重大公益科技专项(201300311500)

10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2026.05.010

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