新质生产力对黄河流域城市经济高质量发展的影响研究OA
Study on the Influence of New Quality Productive Forces on High-Quality Urban Economic Development in the Yellow River Basin
为评估新质生产力的绿色发展效应、探索其推动黄河流域城市经济高质量发展的路径,基于 2011-2021 年黄河流域 77 个地级市的面板数据,采用熵权-TOPSIS 法测度新质生产力发展水平,构建空间杜宾模型实证分析新质生产力对城市经济高质量发展的推动作用及其空间溢出效应,构建机制检验模型探究新质生产力推动城市经济高质量发展的传导机制,结果表明:1)研究期内黄河流域各市新质生产力的发展不仅推动了本市经济的高质量发展,而且对邻近城市的经济高质量发展具有显著的空间溢出效应;2)新质生产力的发展通过环境规制、能源减耗及产业结构高级化等中介渠道推动黄河流域城市经济高质量发展;3)新质生产力推动城市经济高质量发展的直接效应及间接效应均表现为下游城市最强、中游城市次之、上游城市最弱.建议:优化和完善新质生产力发展的顶层设计,发挥新质生产力与"双碳"目标的协同效应,加强 5G 网络、物联网、人工智能等核心技术攻关,增强新质生产力的发展动能.
To assess the green development effect of new quality productive forces and explore its path to promoting the high-quality economic development of cities in the Yellow River Basin,this study employed panel data of 77 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2021.The development level of new quality productive forces was measured using the entropy-TOPSIS method.A Spatial Durbin Model was constructed to empirically analyze the promoting effect of new quality productive forces on the high-quality economic development of cities and its spatial spillover effect.A mechanism test model was constructed to explore the transmission mechanism of new quality produc-tive forces promoting high-quality economic development of cities.The results showed that:a)During the research period,the development of new quality productive forces in each city in the Yellow River Basin not only promoted the high-quality economic development of the city it-self,but also had a significant spatial spillover effect on the high-quality economic development of neighboring cities.b)The development of new quality productive forces promoted high-quality economic development of cities in the Yellow River Basin through intermediary channels such as environmental regulation,energy conservation and the advancement of industrial structure.c)The direct and indirect effects of new quality productive forces promoting the high-quality economic development of cities were the strongest in downstream cities,followed by mid-dle reaches cities,and the weakest in upstream cities.The study suggests optimizing and improving the top-level design for the development of new quality productive forces,giving full play to the synergy between new quality productive forces and the"dual carbon"goals,strength-ening the research and development of core technologies such as 5G networks,the Internet of Things and artificial intelligence,and enhancing the development momentum of new quality productive forces.
李兴锋;雷瑞芳;王斌
青海师范大学 经济管理学院,青海 西宁 810000石河子大学 经济与管理学院,新疆 石河子 832000石河子市委党校,新疆 石河子 832000
管理科学
新质生产力经济高质量发展空间溢出效应传导机制黄河流域
new quality productive forceshigh-quality economic developmentspatial spillover effecttransmission mechanismYellow River Basin
《人民黄河》 2026 (5)
7-13,7
国家社会科学基金资助项目(22BMZ017)青海省社会科学基金资助项目(23Q066)青海师范大学校级中青年科研基金资助项目(2025QSK08)
评论