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农业保险对粮食体系韧性的影响研究OA

Research on the Impact of Agricultural Insurance on the Resilience of the Grain System

中文摘要英文摘要

提升粮食体系韧性是深入实施国家粮食安全战略、不断提高粮食安全保障能力的必然要求.文章阐释了农业保险对粮食体系韧性的影响机理及其作用机制,并基于 2009-2023 年我国 30 个省份的面板数据进行实证检验.回归结果显示:农业保险能够显著提升粮食体系韧性,农地规模经营在其中扮演中介角色.异质性分析发现,农业保险对粮食体系韧性的影响存在区域差异,具体表现为中部地区和粮食主产区的农业保险对粮食体系韧性的提升效果显著.农业保险对粮食体系韧性的影响存在门槛效应,当农业保险赔付支出跨越门槛值后,农业保险的提升效果将减弱.为此,应构建高质量农业保险体系、实行差异化的农业保险政策、推进优惠政策向农险公司倾斜、加快数字信息技术的应用,以充分发挥农业保险对粮食体系韧性的提升作用.

Improving the resilience of the grain system is an inevitable requirement for the in-depth implementation of the na-tional food security strategy and the continuous improvement of the ability to ensure food security.This paper explains the impact mechanism and mechanism of agricultural insurance on the resilience of the grain system,and conducts an empirical test based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2009 to 2023.The regression results show that agricultural insurance can significantly improve the resilience of the grain system,and the scale management of farmland plays an intermediary role in it.The heterogeneity analysis reveals that there were regional differences in the impact of agricultural insurance on the resilience of the grain system,specifically manifesting as significant improvement effects in the central region and the main grain producing areas.The impact of a-gricultural insurance on the resilience of the grain system has a threshold effect.When the compensation expenditure of agricultural insurance crosses the threshold,the improvement effect of agricultural insurance will be weakened.Therefore,we should build a high-quality agricultural insurance system,implement differentiated agricultural insurance policies,promote preferential policies to agricultural insurance companies,and accelerate the application of digital information technology,so as to fully leverage the role of agricultural insurance in improving the resilience of the grain system.

董慧婷

中国海洋大学 管理学院,山东 青岛 266100

管理科学

农业保险粮食体系韧性农地规模经营粮食安全

agricultural insuranceresilience of the grain systemfarmland scale managementfood safety

《荆楚理工学院学报》 2026 (2)

37-47,11

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