心肾代谢综合征冠状动脉狭窄中西医结合智能评估模型OA
Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine Intelligent Assessment Model for Coronary Stenosis in Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome
目的 采用表格先验数据拟合网络(TabPFN)构建心肾代谢(CKM)综合征患者冠状动脉狭窄中西医结合评估模型,为临床决策提供支持.方法 采用横断面研究设计,纳入来自江苏省中医院本部(178例)和紫东院区(51例)住院患者共229例,本部院区数据按7∶3随机分为训练集(123例)和内部验证集(55例),紫东院区数据作为外部验证集(51例).通过综合回归分析,筛选危险因素,并采用TabPFN和8种传统机器学习技术构建模型.多维比较性能指标、校准曲线、决策曲线和学习曲线,进行模型筛选、验证及泛化评估,最终构建本地Shiny计算器.结果 综合逐步回归和集成最小绝对收缩和选择算法(LASSO)回归,共筛选出8个危险因素:中医病性证素(滞、痰、瘀、虚)、冠状动脉计算机断层扫描血管造影(CTA)结果、糖尿病病程、淋巴细胞计数及低密度脂蛋白胆固醇(LDL-C).经多角度比较,TabPFN在小样本数据中较传统模型综合效能更加出色,为最优模型.在训练集中受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.994(95%CI:0.984~1.000),内部验证集中为 0.933(95%CI:0.862~1.000),外部验证集中为0.902(95%CI:0.820~0.984).校准曲线提示预测概率具有一致性,决策曲线提示患者全程均可临床获益,学习曲线提示模型具备强大的特征学习与泛化能力.相较于单纯依赖冠脉CTA,最优模型误诊率下降28.0%,漏诊率下降14.5%.置换特征重要性分析排名依次为瘀、冠脉CTA、淋巴细胞计数、LDL-C、滞、虚、糖尿病病程、痰.结论 TabPFN在小样本医学数据中具有良好的应用前景,且构建的中西医结合评估模型具备较强的效能,可为CKM患者冠脉狭窄的优化评估提供支持.
Objective To develop an optimized assessment model for coronary artery stenosis in patients with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic(CKM)syndrome using the Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Network(TabPFN),thereby providing support for clinical decision-making.Methods Based on a cross-sectional study design,229 hospitalized patients were enrolled from two campuses of Jiangsu Province Hospital of Chinese Medicine,including 178 cases from the Main Campus and 51 cases from the Zidong Branch.Data from the Main Campus were randomly assigned to a training set(123 cases)and an internal validation set(55 cases)at a 7∶3 ratio,while data from the Zidong Branch served as the external validation set(51 cases).Risk factors were screened through integrated regression analyses,and models were constructed using the TabPFN and eight conventional machine learning techniques.Performance metrics,calibration curves,decision curves,and learning curves were compared in a multidimensional manner to conduct model selection,validation,and generalizability assessment.Finally,a local Shiny calculator was developed.Results Through stepwise regression and ensemble least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,a total of 8 risk factors were identified,including Chinese Medicine pathogenic elements(stagnation,phlegm,stasis,deficiency),coronary artery computed tomography angiography(CTA)findings,duration of diabetes,lymphocyte count,and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C).After multi-dimensional comparisons,TabPFN demonstrated superior comprehensive performance in small-sample settings compared to traditional models,and was selected as the optimal model.The model achieved area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)of 0.994(95%CI:0.984~1.000)in the training set,0.933(95%CI:0.862~1.000)in internal validation,and 0.902(95%CI:0.820~0.984)in external validation.Calibration curves indicated high predictive consistency,decision curve analysis confirmed clinical utility across all threshold probabilities,and the learning curve suggested strong feature learning and generalization capabilities.Compared with assessment based on CTA alone,the optimal model reduced misdiagnosis rate by 28.0%and missed diagnoses rate by 14.5%.Permutation feature importance analysis ranked the predictors in descending order of importance as follows:stasis,CTAfindings,lymphocyte count,LDL-C,stagnation,deficiency,duration of diabetes,phlegm.Conclusions TabPFN exhibits promising potential for small-sample medical data analysis.The developed Chinese-Western medicine multimodal assessment model demonstrates robust efficacy,offering an optimized assessment tool for coronary stenosis in CKM patients.
朱时典;刘滟琳;刘彦孜;卜文玉;刘福明
南京中医药大学附属医院,江苏省中医院心血管内科(南京 210029)||南京中医药大学第一临床医学院(南京 210023)南京中医药大学附属中西医结合医院内分泌科(南京 210028)南京中医药大学附属医院,江苏省中医院心血管内科(南京 210029)||南京中医药大学第一临床医学院(南京 210023)南京中医药大学附属医院,江苏省中医院心血管内科(南京 210029)||南京中医药大学第一临床医学院(南京 210023)南京中医药大学附属医院,江苏省中医院心血管内科(南京 210029)
表格先验数据拟合网络多模态数据心肾代谢综合征冠状动脉狭窄中西医结合评估模型本地Shiny计算器人工智能
TabPFNmultimodal datacardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndromecoronary artery stenosisintegrative medicineassessment modellocal shiny calculatorartificial intelligence
《中国中西医结合杂志》 2026 (3)
268-275,8
江苏省卫生健康委员会重点项目(No.ZD2022001)江苏省重点研发计划-社会发展面上项目(No.BE2020683)江苏省"六大人才高峰"创新人才团队项目(No.TD-SWYY-069)
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