基于产量差的作物大面积单产提升策略与展望OA
Strategies and prospects for large-scale crop yield improvement based on yield gap
在"新一轮千亿斤粮食产能提升行动"背景下,大面积单产提升被确立为保障国家粮食安全的核心战略路径.近年来,尽管我国粮食总产量持续稳定增长,但在水土资源紧张和生态环境压力不断加剧的条件下,依赖扩大耕地面积实现增产的空间已十分有限.围绕"主要粮食作物是否仍具备增产潜力、增产空间有多大以及如何实现"等关键科学问题,产量潜力与产量差研究为定量评估增产空间、识别限制因素及设计增产技术路径提供了重要理论与方法支撑.本文系统梳理了产量潜力评估和产量差解析的研究进展,揭示了不同作物和区域的潜在增产空间及关键制约环节,并据此提出了面向大面积单产提升的差异化技术路径:对于产量差较大的地区,应以优化栽培管理和资源配置为重点,加快缩小可利用产量差;对于产量差较小的地区,则需通过育种创新、关键技术突破与种植制度优化,推动产量潜力上限提升.与此同时,分析了当前增产技术推广应用中面临的主要瓶颈,指出科研成果与农户实际生产之间衔接不足,导致技术大面积落地转化困难.未来,有必要在产量潜力评估、产量差诊断、技术集成与推广机制等环节形成协同闭环,通过技术创新与政策和制度支持的协同推进,在有限耕地和资源环境约束条件下实现粮食生产能力的持续提升,为国家粮食安全和农业可持续发展提供科学支撑.
In the context of the"New Round of the 100-Billion-Jin Grain Production Capacity Enhancement Initiative",large-scale yield improvement has been identified as a core strategic pathway for ensuring national food security in China.Al-though national grain production has remained high and stable in recent years,further yield increases through cropland expansion are increasingly constrained by limited water and soil resources and growing environmental pressures.Addressing the key scien-tific questions of"whether major food crops still have room for yield improvement,how large this potential is,and how it can be realized",research on yield potential and yield gaps provide an essential theoretical and methodological foundation to quantify production potential,identify limiting factors,and design yield-enhancement strategies.This paper systematically reviews recent advances in yield potential assessment and yield gap analysis,revealing the magnitude of untapped yield potential and the domi-nant constraints across different crops and regions.Based on these insights,differentiated technical pathways for large-scale yield improvement are proposed.In regions with large yield gaps,priority should be given to optimizing crop management practices and resource allocation to accelerate yield gap closure.In contrast,in areas where yield gaps are relatively small,further yield gains rely on breeding innovation,key technological breakthroughs,and cropping system optimization to raise yield ceilings.In addition,this paper analyzes major bottlenecks in the dissemination and application of yield-enhancing technologies,highlighting the persistent disconnect between scientific outputs and on-farm practices that hampers large-scale adoption.Looking ahead,es-tablishing a coordinated and closed-loop framework encompassing yield potential assessment,yield gap diagnosis,technology integration,and on-farm implementation will be critical for translating scientific advances into sustained productivity gains.Through the synergistic advancement of technological innovations and supportive policy and system arrangements,China can continue to enhance its grain production capacity under constraints of limited arable land and environmental resources,thereby strengthening food security and agricultural sustainability.
王宇诚;张露;刘阿康;黄见良;彭少兵;袁珅
作物遗传改良全国重点实验室/湖北洪山实验室/农业农村部长江中游作物生理生态与耕作重点实验室/华中农业大学植物科学技术学院,湖北 武汉 430070华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北 武汉 430070全国农业技术推广服务中心,北京 100125作物遗传改良全国重点实验室/湖北洪山实验室/农业农村部长江中游作物生理生态与耕作重点实验室/华中农业大学植物科学技术学院,湖北 武汉 430070作物遗传改良全国重点实验室/湖北洪山实验室/农业农村部长江中游作物生理生态与耕作重点实验室/华中农业大学植物科学技术学院,湖北 武汉 430070作物遗传改良全国重点实验室/湖北洪山实验室/农业农村部长江中游作物生理生态与耕作重点实验室/华中农业大学植物科学技术学院,湖北 武汉 430070
大面积单产提升产量潜力产量差技术路径粮食安全
large-scale yield improvementyield potentialyield gaptechnology pathwaysfood security
《作物学报》 2026 (5)
1279-1290,12
本研究由国家自然科学基金项目(T2261129473,72473049),国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFD1900600),武汉市自然科学基金探索计划(2024040801020290)和财政部和农业农村部国家现代农业产业技术体系建设专项(CARS-01)资助.This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(T2261129473,72473049),the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFD1900600),the Natural Science Foundation of Wuhan(2024040801020290),and the China Agri-culture Research System of MOF and MARA(CARS-01).
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