考虑变形效应量间随机效应的水工混凝土结构安全监控模型OA
Safety Monitoring Model for Hydraulic Concrete Structures Considering Random Effects of Deformation
深度分析水工混凝土结构变形监测数据,是评估其实时运行性态的重要手段之一.但考虑到水工混凝土结构运行时常处于复杂环境,变形监测点间常存在难以直接量化的非线性耦合关系.鉴于上述问题,首先使用自适应的均值聚类算法(X-means)对某水工混凝土结构的多个变形监控点进行聚类,进而借助统计学中的随机分析理论,挖掘强相关测点组内各测点间的协同性.将测点间协同性的统计特征纳入传统变形影响因子集,以相关测点组内某测点实测值作为自变量,使用多核最小二乘支持回归机(MK-LSSVR)算法捕捉自变量与因变量间的非线性关系,构建了水工混凝土结构变形监控模型,最后通过评价指标验证了该方法对监控模型精度上的提升.
In-depth analysis of deformation monitoring data of hydraulic concrete structures is one of the most important means to assess their real-time operational state.However,due to the complex environmental conditions under which these structures typically operate,nonlinear coupling relationships often exist among deformation monitoring points,making direct quantification challenging.To address this issue,an adaptive X-means clustering algorithm is first employed to group multiple deformation monitoring points of a given hydraulic concrete structure.Then,based on stochastic analysis theory,the synergistic relationships among various monitoring points within strongly correlated groups are extracted.The statistical characteristics of these correlations are incorporated into the traditional set of deformation-influencing factors.Using the measured values of one point within a correlated group as the input variable,a multi-kernel least squares support vector regression(MK-LSSVR)model is applied to capture the nonlinear relationships between input and output variables.This approach establishes a deformation monitoring model for hydraulic concrete structures,and its effectiveness in improving monitoring accuracy is validated through relevant evaluation metrics.
卢青法;眭萍;张怀俊;金洪建;李森林;杨孟;李金友
宁波舟山港股份有限公司北仑矿石码头分公司,浙江 宁波 315800浙江省海洋风电发展有限公司,浙江 温州 325700连云港市市区水工程管理处,江苏 连云港 222006宁波北仑国际集装箱码头有限公司,浙江 宁波 315800水利部交通运输部国家能源局南京水利科学研究院,江苏 南京 210029水利部交通运输部国家能源局南京水利科学研究院,江苏 南京 210029湖南水利水电职业技术学院,湖南 长沙 410131
建筑与水利
随机分析多测点相关性MK-LSSVR算法X-means
stochastic analysismulti-measurement point correlationMK-LSSVR algorithmX-means
《中国农村水利水电》 2026 (4)
59-64,6
国家重点研发计划(2024YFC3214903),江苏省自然科学基金(BK20241743)湖南省水利科技项目(XSKJ2024064-50,XSKJ2022068-07),中央基本业务费项目(Y424013,Y423006,Y422003).
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