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CLDAS温湿风产品在乌昌地区的适用性评估OA

Applicability Assessment of CLDAS Temperature,Relative Humidity,and Wind Speed Products in the Urumqi-Changji Region

中文摘要英文摘要

基于2023年1-12月CLDAS 5 km逐小时实况融合分析产品及乌昌地区地面气象站点实测数据,采用双线性插值法进行空间匹配,计算相关系数(COR)、平均误差(ME)、平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均相对误差(MRE)和均方根误差(RMSE),结合Moran I指数和LISA聚类分析,揭示气温、相对湿度和风速产品的误差分布特征和空间异质性.结果表明:(1)CLDAS气温、相对湿度及风速产品与站点实测数据的日变化趋势高度一致,能准确地捕捉宏观天气背景下气象要素的时空演变规律;(2)气温(r>0.95,p<0.001)和相对湿度(r>0.88,p<0.001)产品与实测数据的相关性较高,风速产品与实测数据的相关性略低(r>0.75,p<0.001),尤其是南部山区因地形动力参数化不足导致误差显著(RMSE≥1.56 m/s);(3)气温产品在平原区表现稳健(MAE≤0.76℃),但独立检验平均误差偏高(0.53~0.67℃),反映局地微气候适应性不足;相对湿度在绿洲灌溉区存在系统性低估(-0.834%~1.24%),可能与蒸散发模拟缺失有关;(4)气温在准噶尔盆地误差较低,湿度在西南山区及绿洲区误差突出,风速在城区及山地误差显著升高.CLDAS产品能有效支撑乌昌地区气象业务宏观分析.

This study evaluates the performance of 5-km hourly fused analysis products from the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System(CLDAS)against ground meteorological station observations in the Urumqi-Changji Region from January to December 2023.Using bilinear interpolation for spatial matching,key statistical metrics,including the Correlation Coefficient(COR),Mean Error(ME),Mean Absolute Error(MAE),Mean Relative Error(MRE),and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),were calculated.The spatial heterogeneity of errors in temperature,relative humidity,and wind speed products was further analyzed using Moran's I index and local indicators of spatial association(LISA)cluster analysis.The main findings are as follows:(1)Diurnal variations of CLDAS temperature,relative humidity,and wind speed exhibit high consistency with station observations,indicating strong capability in capturing spatiotemporal patterns under synoptic-scale weather conditions.(2)On an hourly scale,temperature(COR>0.95)and relative humidity(COR>0.88)show significant correlations with observations,whereas wind speed shows weaker correlations(COR=0.65-0.83),particularly in southern mountainous areas where terrain-induced parameterization limitations result in large errors(RMSE≥1.56 m/s).(3)Temperature products demonstrate reliability over plains(MAE≤0.76℃),while higher independent validation errors(ME=0.53-0.67℃)suggest insufficient adaptability to local microclimates.Relative humidity products systematically underestimate values in oasis irrigation zones(ME=-0.83%to-1.24%),likely due to insufficient evapotranspiration coupling.(4)Spatially,temperature errors are minimal in the Junggar Basin,relative humidity errors are prominent in the southwestern mountainous and oasis areas,and wind speed errors rise significantly in urban and complex terrain regions.CLDAS products can effectively support macroscale meteorological analysis in the Urumqi-Changji Region.

胡义成;王敏仲

新疆大学 地理与遥感科学学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017||新疆维吾尔自治区气象信息中心,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830002中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830002

天文与地球科学

CLDAS产品乌昌地区适用性评估气温相对湿度风速

CLDAS productsUrumqi-Changji Regionapplicability assessmenttemperaturerelative humiditywind speed

《沙漠与绿洲气象》 2026 (2)

159-168,10

中央引导地方科技发展专项资金项目(ZYYD2025ZY21)"天山英才"培养计划—科技创新团队(天山创新团队)项目(2022TSYCTD0007)新疆大学"优秀研究生创新项目"(XJDX2025YJS064)

10.12057/j.issn.2097-6801.2503.19124

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