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2012-2023年喀什地区暖季分级短时强降水时空分布特征OA

Spatiotemporal Distribution of Classified Short-Term Heavy Precipitation during Warm Season in Kashgar from 2012 to 2023

中文摘要英文摘要

利用2012-2023年4-9月喀什地区178个气象站逐时降水数据,通过统计方法分析不同量级短时强降水时空分布特征.结果表明:喀什地区短时强降水频次的空间分布总体呈北部>南部>东部、浅山区>平原地区.地形与短时强降水关系密切,短时强降水主要发生在山前迎风坡、谷地、地形陡峭抬升区、绿洲—荒漠过渡带及喇叭口等地形附近.短时强降水发生频次年际变化大,2016-2018年短时强降水高发,2017年频次最多(155次),2012年最少;各量级短时强降水频次年变化特征与总频次基本一致,频次最大值均出现在2017年.月、旬频次变化呈单峰型,7-8月为短时强降水高发期,7月中旬累计频次最高(140次),雨强最大值出现在8月上旬(87.9 mm/h).日变化呈双峰型,高发时段为傍晚到上半夜,其次为后半夜至清晨,上午至中午较低;不同量级短时强降水19时—次日1时出现最频繁.

Based on hourly precipitation data from 178 meteorological stations in Kashgar from April to October in 2012-2023,this study statistically analyzes the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of short-term heavy precipitation of different magnitudes in the region.The results show that the frequency of short-term heavy precipitation in Kashgar is distributed in the pattern of north>south>east and shallow mountain areas>plain areas.The terrain is closely associated with short-term heavy precipitation.The short-term heavy precipitation mainly occurred in regions with complex terrain,such as windward slope at mountain fronts,valley,steep terrain,horn-shaped outlets,and transition zones between oasis and the Gobi desert.The interannual variation of short-term heavy precipitation is significant,with the highest frequencies occurring during 2016-2018,2017 recorded the most events(155)and 2012 the fewest(10).The annual variation of short-time heavy precipitation frequency of different magnitudes is generally consistent with the total frequency,all peaking in 2017.On monthly and ten-day scales,the frequency of short-term heavy precipitation exhibits a unimodal distribution,with the highest frequency concentrated in July-August,the cumulative frequency reached its maximum(140 times)in mid-July,while the maximum of extreme rainfall intensity appeared in early August(87.9 mm/h).The diurnal variation displays a bimodal pattern,with the highest frequency from evening to midnight,a secondary peak from midnight to early morning,and the lowest frequency from morning to noon;short-term heavy precipitation of different magnitudes occurs most frequently from 19:00 to 01:00.

希热娜依·铁里瓦尔地;哈力普江·喀斯木;阿力木·艾尔肯;杨鸿;王鹏飞

喀什地区气象局,新疆 喀什 844000喀什地区气象局,新疆 喀什 844000喀什地区气象局,新疆 喀什 844000喀什地区气象局,新疆 喀什 844000喀什地区气象局,新疆 喀什 844000

天文与地球科学

短时强降水不同等级统计特征喀什地区

short-term heavy precipitationdifferent magnitudesstatistical characteristicsKashgar area

《沙漠与绿洲气象》 2026 (2)

12-19,8

新疆维吾尔自治区科技厅"天山英才"培养计划项目(2023TSYCJC0066)新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金(2025D01B25)新疆维吾尔自治区气象局青年基金(QN202412)喀什地区气象局科技计划项目(KS202503)

10.12057/j.issn.2097-6801.2411.13054

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