碳中和目标下中俄能源合作效应研究OACHSSCD

Under the carbon neutrality target,China-Russia energy cooperation exhibits a dual effect in promoting economic growth while reducing carbon emission intensity.Based on data from 2000 to 2022,this study employs the Vector Autoregression(VAR)model to evaluate the impacts of traditional energy cooperation and the"traditional plus new"energy cooperation model on GDP growth and CO2 emissions in both China and Russia.The findings indicate that the contribution of traditional energy cooperation to economic growth is lower in China than in Russia,suggesting Russia̍s stronger reliance on conventional energy sources.Upon the introduction of new energy,the contribution rates of energy cooperation to both countries increase,with enhanced economic driving forces;however,Russia̍s dependence on traditional energy remains fundamentally unchanged.In terms of environmental outcomes,the"traditional plus new"energy cooperation model demonstrates a higher emission reduction contribution rate than the traditional model alone,highlighting the significant role of new energy cooperation in advancing carbon neutrality.From a long-term perspective,the marginal benefits of tra-ditional energy cooperation are diminishing,whereas the"traditional plus new"model shows greater growth potential,with new energy trade emerging as a focal point of bilateral cooperation.It is recommended to deepen the"traditional plus new"energy cooperation through bilateral agreements and special funds to facilitate the achievement of carbon neutrality goals.