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森林城市群建设对公共健康的影响及其作用机制OACHSSCD

Impacts of forest urban agglomeration construction on public health its mechanisms:a case study of the Pearl River Delta

中文摘要英文摘要

森林城市群建设已从单一的生态工程上升为一项重要的公共健康干预政策,科学评估其健康效益对于优化国土空间规划、推进健康中国战略具有深刻的现实意义.以珠三角森林城市群为例,基于 2011-2023 年广东省 20 个城市的面板数据,从身体健康、心理健康和社会健康三方面构建公共健康评价指标体系,计算公共健康综合得分.在此基础上,借助经典双重差分模型系统探讨森林城市群建设对公共健康的影响,并选取空气质量和绿色空间可获性作为中介变量识别其作用机制.研究表明:(1)珠三角森林城市群建设可以显著改善公共健康,实验组较对照组提高了 2.9%.(2)从公共健康的三个维度看,珠三角森林城市群建设的心理健康效益>社会健康效益>身体健康效益.(3)考虑内生性问题、样本选择偏误问题、替换估计模型以及安慰剂检验的结果表明上述结论具有稳健性.(4)作用机制检验发现,珠三角森林城市群建设可以通过改善空气质量、增加绿色空间可获性,提升公共健康水平.据此,从优化森林城市群建设的规划与实施机制、推动森林城市群建设的生态服务功能与健康效益协同、完善森林城市群建设的公众参与和健康教育体系三方面提出政策启示.

The construction of forest urban agglomerations has evolved from a single ecological project to an important public health intervention policy.Scientifically assessing its health benefits holds profound practical significance for optimizing territorial spatial planning and promoting the Healthy China strategy.This paper takes the Pearl River Delta Forest Urban Agglomeration as an example.Based on the panel data of 20 cities in Guangdong Province from 2011 to 2023,a public health evaluation index system was constructed from three aspects:physical health,mental health and social health.The entropy weight method was used to calculate the index weights.The physical health index,mental health index,social health index and comprehensive public health index were calculated by using the weighted summation method.On this basis,the impact of forest urban agglomerations construction on public health and its three dimensions was explored by means of the classic difference-in-differences model system.Furthermore,air quality and the availability of green space were selected as mediating variables,and the mediating effect model was used to identify the mechanism by which the construction of forest urban agglomerations construction affects public health.Research shows that:(1)The construction of the Pearl River Delta Forest Urban Agglomeration can significantly improve public health,with the experimental group increasing by 2.9%compared to the control group.According to the parallel trend test,the improvement effect of the construction of the Pearl River Delta Forest Urban Agglomeration on public health has been increasing year by year in the three years after the policy implementation.This indicates that the impact of the policy on the improvement of public health is not a short-term and occasional effect,but accumulates continuously with the advancement of ecological construction.Moreover,the effect of the policy implementation will gradually show long-term effectiveness over time.(2)From the perspective of the three dimensions of public health,the mental health benefits of the construction of the Pearl River Delta Forest Urban Agglomeration are greater than the social health benefits and greater than the physical health benefits.(3)Considering the endogeneity issue,sample selection bias,substitution estimation model,and the results of the placebo test,the above conclusion is robust.(4)The examination of the mechanism of action reveals that the construction of the Pearl River Delta Forest Urban Agglomeration can enhance public health levels by improving air quality and increasing the availability of green space.Based on this,policy inspirations are proposed from three aspects:optimizing the planning and implementation mechanism of forest urban agglomerations construction,promoting the synergy of ecological service functions and health benefits in forest urban agglomerations construction,and improving the public participation and health education system for forest urban agglomerations construction.

蔡秀亭;宫梓恩;王明晖;潘霞;米红

东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨 150040东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨 150040东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨 150040东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨 150040东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨 150040||浙江大学公共管理学院,杭州 310058

森林城市群公共健康空气质量绿色空间可获性双重差分模型中介效应模型

forested urban agglomerationpublic healthair qualitygreen space accessibilitydifference-in-difference modelmediating effect model

《生态学报》 2026 (8)

4042-4053,12

国家自然科学基金项目(72441011)国家社会科学基金项目(21BGL166)黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(25JYC015)

10.20103/j.stxb.202507141835

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