基于DEA-Tobit模型的奶牛养殖业绿色全要素生产率的时空特征及影响因素分析OA
Time and space characteristics and influencing factors analysis of green total factor productivity in dairy farming industry based on DEA-Tobit model
深入研究奶牛养殖业绿色全要素生产率时空特征及其影响因素,对科学建立我国奶牛产业现代化架构,实现奶牛养殖业可持续发展具有不可替代的作用.文章基于2014-2024年省份面板数据,利用DEA-Malmquist指数法对奶牛养殖全要素生产率及时空特征加以测度,并通过构建Tobit模型分析奶牛养殖业绿色全要素生产率影响因素.结果显示,从时间演变特征分析,研究时段内奶牛养殖业绿色全要素生产率指数均值为1.138.从空间分布特征分析,奶牛养殖业绿色全要素生产率呈现东部、中部、西部依次降低的空间集聚格局.从影响因素分析,技术供给、养殖病疫风险防控、奶牛养殖规模化水平、政策支持及环境规制在推动奶牛养殖业绿色全要素生产率提升方面发挥正向作用.研究表明,奶牛养殖业绿色全要素生产率整体呈现逐渐增长趋势,并受技术供给、养殖病疫风险防控、奶牛养殖规模化水平、政策支持及环境规制因素等影响.
In depth research on the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of green total factor productivity in dairy farming played an irreplaceable role in scientifically establishing a modern framework for Chinese dairy industry and achieving sustainable development in the dairy farming industry.The article was based on provincial panel data from 2014 to 2024,used the DEA-Malmquist index method to measure the total factor productivity and spatiotemporal characteristics of dairy farming,and analyzed the influencing factors of green total factor productivity in dairy farming by constructing a Tobit model.The results showed that from the perspective of temporal evolution characteristics,the green total factor productivity index of dairy farming industry during the research period was 1.138.From the perspective of spatial distribution characteristics,the green total factor productivity of dairy farming showed a spatial agglomeration pattern of decreasing in the East,Middle,and West.From the perspective of influencing factors,technology supply,risk prevention and control of farming diseases and epidemics,level of scale of dairy farming,policy support,and environmental regulations played a positive role in promoting the improvement of green total factor productivity in dairy farming.The study shows that the overall green total factor productivity of dairy farming is gradually increasing,and is influenced by factors such as technology supply,risk prevention and control of farming diseases and epidemics,the level of scale of dairy farming,policy support,and environmental regulations.
王金鑫
郑州财税金融职业学院,河南 郑州 450000
农业科技
DEA-Tobit模型绿色全要素生产率时空特征影响因素奶牛养殖业
DEA-Tobit modelgreen total factor productivityspatiotemporal characteristicsinfluence factordairy farming industry
《饲料研究》 2026 (5)
179-183,5
2025年河南省教育厅人文社科项目(项目编号:2025-ZDJH-387)
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