基于改进CNN-LSTM和多目标霜冰算法的综合能源系统优化调度OA
Optimal scheduling of integrated energy systems based on improved CNN-LSTM and multi-objective RIME algorithm
为提高综合能源系统在多能耦合条件下的预测精度与运行经济性,提出了一种基于改进卷积神经网络-长短期记忆神经网络(CNN-LSTM)的电-热负荷预测与优化调度方法.该方法融合CNN与LSTM结构,引入注意力机制增强特征提取与时序响应能力,并结合多目标霜冰算法(MORIME)实现预测模型与运行策略的协同优化.基于济南某园区夏季、冬季典型日的仿真结果表明:改进CNN-LSTM模型的负荷预测平均绝对百分比误差较传统模型降低32.6%;经MORIME优化后,系统夏季与冬季运行总成本分别下降12.7%与10.3%,系统能源利用效率提升3.8%~4.1%.电-热储能系统的高效联动与能源的时移利用,显著提升了系统的运行经济性与能源利用效率,可为复杂多能系统的优化调度提供新的技术路径.
To improve the forecast accuracy and operation economic efficiency of integrated energy systems under multi-energy coupling conditions,an electric-thermal load forecasting and optimal scheduling method was proposed based on an improved convolutional neural network and long short-term memory neural network(CNN-LSTM).The method integrated CNN and LSTM,introduced an attention mechanism to enhance the capabilities of feature extraction and temporal response,and achieved the coordinated optimization of the forecasting model and operation strategy in combination with the multi-objective rime optimization algorithm(MORIME).Simulation results based on typical summer and winter days of a park in Jinan showed that the improved CNN-LSTM model achieved a 32.6%reduction in the mean absolute percentage error of load forecasting compared to that of the traditional model.With MORIME,the total operation costs of the system in summer and winter reduced by 12.7%and 10.3%respectively,and the energy utilization efficiency of the system increased by 3.8%to 4.1%.The efficient coordination of the electric-thermal energy storage system and the time-shift utilization of energy significantly improve the operation economic efficiency and energy utilization efficiency of the system,thereby providing a new technical approach for the optimal scheduling of complex multi-energy systems.
朱丽娟;刘吉营;于明志;杨开敏;毛煜东
山东建筑大学 热能工程学院,济南 250101山东建筑大学 热能工程学院,济南 250101山东建筑大学 热能工程学院,济南 250101山东建筑大学 热能工程学院,济南 250101山东建筑大学 热能工程学院,济南 250101
能源科技
综合能源系统负荷预测卷积神经网络长短期记忆神经网络注意力机制多目标霜冰算法
integrated energy systemload forecastingconvolutional neural networklong short-term memory neural networkattention mechanismmulti-objective rime optimization algorithm
《综合智慧能源》 2026 (4)
35-46,12
国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFE0106800)National Key R&D Program Project(2024YFE0106800)
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