全身免疫炎症指数和全身炎症反应指数对卵巢癌术后1年内复发的预测价值OA
Predictive Value of the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index and System-ic Inflammation Response Index for 1-Year Postoperative Recurrence in Ovarian Cancer
目的:评估全身免疫炎症指数(systemic immune inflammation index,SII)和全身炎症反应指数(systemic in-flammation response index,SIRI)对卵巢癌术后 1 年内复发的预测价值,探索其作为复发风险评估生物标志物的临床应用潜力.方法:回顾性分析 2021 年 1 月至 2024 年 11 月在苏州大学附属第四医院接受手术治疗的 50 例卵巢癌患者的临床资料.收集患者术前血液学指标,计算 SII(血小板×中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞)和 SIRI(中性粒细胞×单核细胞/淋巴细胞).采用单因素分析/多因素逻辑回归和分层分析评估 SII/SIRI 与术后 1 年内复发的相关性,并采用ROC 曲线和 HosmerLemeshow 检验评估模型的预测效能.结果:50 例患者中,15 例(30.00%)术后 1 年内复发.单因素分析显示,FIGO 分期 III~IV 期患者复发风险显著高于 I~II 期(OR=5.24,95%CI:1.23~22.28,P=0.025),而SII 和 SIRI 与复发的关联无统计学意义(模型 1),在调整年龄/绝经状态/孕次/产次/既往手术史等基线特征后(模型 2),SII(OR=2.32,95%CI:0.98~5.52,P=0.057)和 SIRI(OR=2.18,95%CI:0.96~4.95,P=0.061)与术后 1 年内复发的关联无统计学意义.进一步调整肿瘤切除程度/FIGO 分期/是否含铂辅助治疗及是否为高级别浆液性癌等因素后(模型 3),SII(OR=1.83,95%CI:0.70~4.78,P=0.215)和 SIRI(OR=2.02,95%CI:0.87~4.68,P=0.102)与术后 1 年内复发的关联均无统计学意义,模型3的 AUC 为 0.861(95%CI:0.74~0.98),拟合优度检验 P=0.373.分层分析显示,在绝经患者中 SII(OR=1.00,P=0.008)与 SIRI(OR=4.56,P=0.012)和 R0 切除患者中 SII(OR=1.00,P=0.005)与SIRI(OR=5.59,P=0.017)仍具有显著预测卵巢癌术后1年内复发的价值.结论:本研究表明,SII 和SIRI 在特定亚组(绝经后及 R0切除患者)中与卵巢癌术后 1 年内复发风险显著相关,可能作为术后复发风险评估的辅助指标.但在整体人群中,其独立预测价值需进一步大样本研究验证.这些基于常规血液学参数的炎症指标为卵巢癌术后1年内复发风险的精准评估提供了简便/经济的工具,有助于识别高危患者并指导个体化治疗策略的制定.
Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of the systemic immune-inflammation index(SII)and systemic inflammatory response index(SIRI)for recurrence within one year after surgery in ovarian cancer,and to explore their clini-cal potential as biomarkers for recurrence risk assessment.Methods:Clinical data of 50 ovarian cancer patients who under-went surgical treatment at the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between January 2021 and November 2024 were retrospectively analyzed.Preoperative hematological parameters were collected to calculate SII(platelets×neutrophils/lymphocytes)and SIRI(neutrophils×monocytes/lymphocytes).Univariate analysis,multivariate logistic regression,and stratified analysis were used to assess the association between SII/SIRI and one-year postoperative recurrence,and the ROC curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the model.Results:Of the 50 pa-tients,15(30.00%)experienced recurrence within one year after surgery.Univariate analysis revealed that patients with FIGO stage III~IV had a significantly higher risk of recurrence than those with stage I~II(OR=5.24,95%CI:1.23~22.28,P=0.025),while neither SII nor SIRI showed a statistically significant association with recurrence within one year after surgery(Model 1).After adjusting for baseline characteristics such as age,menopausal status,gravidity,parity,and history of prior surgery(Model 2),the associations of SII(OR=2.32,95%CI:0.98~5.52,P=0.057)and SIRI(OR=2.18,95%CI:0.96~4.95,P=0.061)with one-year postoperative recurrence were not statistically significant.After further adjustment for factors such as extent of resection,FIGO stage,platinum-based adjuvant chemotherapy,and high-grade serous carcinoma status(Model 3),neither SII(OR=1.83,95%CI:0.70~4.78,P=0.215)nor SIRI(OR=2.02,95%CI:0.87~4.68,P=0.102)showed a statistically significant association with one-year postoperative recur-rence;the AUC of Model 3 was 0.861(95%CI:0.741~0.981),and the P-value for the goodness-of-fit test was 0.373.Subgroup analysis revealed that in postmenopausal patients,SII(OR=1.00,P=0.008)and SIRI(OR=4.56,P=0.012),and in patients who underwent R0 resection,SII(OR=1.00,P=0.005)and SIRI(OR=5.59,P=0.017),still demonstrated significant predictive value in one-year postoperative recurrence.Conclusion:This study indi-cates that SII and SIRI are significantly associated with the risk of one-year postoperative recurrence of ovarian cancer in specific subgroups(postmenopausal patients and those who underwent R0 resection),and may serve as supplementary in-dicators for assessing the risk of postoperative recurrence.However,in the overall population,their independent predictive value requires further validation in large-scale studies.These inflammatory markers,based on routine hematological param-eters,provide a simple and cost-effective tool for the precise assessment of the risk of one-year postoperative recurrence,aiding in the identification of high-risk patients and guiding the formulation of individualized treatment strategies.
靳鲁鸿媛;冯君;黄强;杨丹丹;侯文杰
215000 江苏 苏州,苏州大学附属第四医院(苏州市独墅湖医院) 妇产科215000 江苏 苏州,苏州大学附属第四医院(苏州市独墅湖医院) 妇产科215000 江苏 苏州,苏州大学附属第四医院(苏州市独墅湖医院) 妇产科215000 江苏 苏州,苏州大学附属第四医院(苏州市独墅湖医院) 妇产科215000 江苏 苏州,苏州大学附属第四医院(苏州市独墅湖医院) 妇产科
医药卫生
卵巢癌全身免疫炎症指数全身炎症反应指数复发预测因子
Ovarian cancerSystemic immune-inflammatory indexSystemic inflammatory response indexRecurrencePredictive factors
《肿瘤预防与治疗》 2026 (4)
306-314,9
2024 年苏州市卫生青年骨干人才"全国导师制"培训项目(编号:Qngg2024015) This study was supported by grants from Suzhou Mu-nicipal Health Commission(No.Qngg2024015).
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