华东中部地区弓状回波统计特征分析OA
Statistical analysis of bow echoes in central East China
弓状回波是雷达回波图上呈弓状的中尺度对流系统.经典型弓状回波多由飑线或对流单体等发展而形成,合并型弓状回波则由线状对流和前侧单体合并产生,后者致灾往往更严重.本研究基于 2019-2022 年华东中部地区雷达拼图数据,结合ERA5 再分析数据、探空观测资料和地面自动站观测资料等多源数据,对华东中部地区弓状回波进行系统分类,并对其时空分布、环境场配置及地面降水分布统计分析.研究发现,华东中部地区 2019-2022 年共发生 19 起弓状回波事件,其中合并型14 起,占比74%,经典型5 起,占比26%.合并型弓状回波成熟时间存在午后主峰与夜间次峰的双峰特征;经典型则表现为午后单峰特征.环境场对比表明,合并型弓状回波具有更强的暖湿气流,凸显热力不稳定主导的对流发展机制.且其具有更高的SWEAT指数和更低的LIFT指数.而经典型弓状回波以动力驱动为特征,表现为更强的低层辐合与垂直风切变.降水特征显示,合并型弓状回波强降水极值更大,分布更加广泛.本研究系统揭示了华东中部地区弓状回波的分类及统计特征,发现了华东中部地区合并型弓状回波的高占比和强致灾能力.
Bow echoes are Mesoscale Convective Systems(MCSs)characterized by bow-shaped radar reflectivity patterns.Classic Bow Echoes(CBEs)typically develop from squall lines or convective cells,whereas Merger-formation Bow Echoes(MFBEs)arise from the merging of linear systems with pre-line convection.The latter often exhibit more severe weather hazards.This study systematically categorizes bow echoes in central East China during 2019-2022 using multi-source datasets,including radar mosaic composites,ERA5 reanalysis data,sounding observations,and surface observations.Statistical analyses are conducted to investigate the spatiotemporal distributions,environmental configurations,and surface precipitation characteristics.Results reveal 19 bow echo events in Central East China during the study period,with MFBEs accounting for 74%(14 cases)and CBEs 26%(5 cases).MFBEs exhibit a dual-peak diurnal pattern in maturation time(primary afternoon peak and secondary nocturnal peak),whereas CBEs show a single afternoon peak.Comparative analysis of environmental conditions demonstrates that MFBEs are associated with stronger warm and moist airflows,highlighting thermodynamic instability as the dominant mechanism for convective development.Additionally,MFBEs exhibit higher SWEAT index values and lower LIFT index values.In contrast,CBEs are dynamically driven,characterized by enhanced low-level convergence and vertical wind shear.Precipitation analysis indicates that MFBEs produce more spatially extensive heavy rainfall cores.This study systematically uncovers the classification and statistical attributes of bow echoes in Central East China,emphasizing the high frequency and enhanced destructive capacity of MFBEs.
张昌安;周昂;赵坤
南京大学 大气科学学院/中尺度灾害性天气教育部重点实验室,南京 210023||中国气象局 雷达气象重点开放实验室,南京 210023南京大学 大气科学学院/中尺度灾害性天气教育部重点实验室,南京 210023||中国气象局 雷达气象重点开放实验室,南京 210023南京大学 大气科学学院/中尺度灾害性天气教育部重点实验室,南京 210023||中国气象局 雷达气象重点开放实验室,南京 210023
天文与地球科学
华东中部地区弓状回波时空分布环境条件降水分布
central East Chinabow echospatiotemporal distributionenvironmental conditionsprecipitation distribution
《气象科学》 2026 (1)
48-58,11
国家自然科学基金重点项目(42230607)灾害天气国家重点实验室开放课题(2024LASW-A02)
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