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情报产品支撑国家立法决策的机制路径研究OACHSSCD

Mechanisms for Intelligence Products to Support National Legislative Decision-Making:Evidence from the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission's Reports(2016-2025)

中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]识别涉华情报产品在美国国会层面的立法推动路径,提前洞察情报产品如何影响美对华立法行动,为我国提高国家竞争力和韧性提供保障.[方法]基于多源流理论,以美中经济与安全评估委员会(USCC)在2016-2025 年间向国会提出的44 项对策作为案例,运用模糊集定性比较研究(fsQCA)方法,系统探讨情报产品支撑国会立法的机制路径.[结果/结论]高支撑路径主要依赖问题流的有效定义,形成三类典型模式:聚焦硬实力议题的"降低暴露-竞争应对型"路径,依赖专业认可的"观念合法-竞争应对型"软实力议题路径以及以美国国家战略驱动的"结构嵌合-竞争预警型"路径;低支撑路径或依赖政治流单独开启而服务于政治象征目的,或在政策流打开、政治流关闭下难以转化为实际行动.研究揭示了美国对华立法"高频响应-低效执行"的博弈逻辑,为支撑构建科学性与战略性的国家竞争情报体系提供参考.

[Purpose]By identifying the legislative promotion path of China-related intelligence products at the level of the U.S.Con-gress,this paper has an insight into how intelligence products affect the U.S.legislative action against China in advance,thus providing a guarantee for China to improve its national competitiveness and resilience.[Method]Drawing on multiple streams theory,this study u-ses the 44 policy recommendations submitted by the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission(USCC)to Congress be-tween 2016 and 2025 as empirical cases.It employs fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis(fsQCA)to systematically examine the mechanism through which intelligence products support congressional legislation.[Result/Conclusion]High-support pathways rely pri-marily on effective problem framing and fall into three typical patterns:a"reduced-exposure,competition-response"centered on hard-power issues;an"ideational-legitimacy,competition-response"pathway that depends on professional validation in soft-power domains;and a"structural-alignment,competition-warning"pathway driven by U.S.national strategic imperatives.In contrast,low-support pathways either hinge solely on the political stream and serve symbolic political purposes,or fail to translate into legislative action when the policy stream is open but the political stream is closed.The study reveals the logic behind the United States pattern of"high-frequency re-sponse but short-term low-efficiency implementation"in China-related legislation,offering insights for developing a more scientific and strategically oriented national competitive intelligence system.

孙维临;巴锐

中国人民公安大学国家安全学院 北京 100038中国人民公安大学国家安全学院 北京 100038

社会科学

立法决策美中经济与安全审查委员会情报产品政策响应机制情报支撑国家竞争情报体系模糊集定性比较分析

legislative decision-makingUSCCintelligence productspolicy response mechanismintelligence supportnational com-petitive intelligence systemfsQCA

《情报杂志》 2026 (5)

72-80,104,10

国家自然科学基金面上项目"极端事件下国家安全治理的认知风险计算及系统韧性建构研究"(编号:72574228)中国人民公安大学基本科研业务费项目"国家安全风险评估机制与方法探索性研究"(编号:2023JKF01ZK06)研究成果.

10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2026.05.009

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