首页|期刊导航|农林经济管理学报|中国生猪产业高质量发展水平评价与区域协调发展研究

中国生猪产业高质量发展水平评价与区域协调发展研究OACHSSCD

Evaluation of high-quality development level and regional coordinated development of China's hog industry

中文摘要英文摘要

基于2014-2022年中国30个省份面板数据,采用熵权-TOPSIS法测度生猪产业高质量发展水平,利用Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计与收敛模型,刻画时空分异并检验收敛性及空间溢出效应.结果表明:2014-2022年,中国生猪产业高质量发展水平总体呈现"稳步上升-阶段波动-明显回落-快速修复"的动态轨迹;研究区间政策侧重点主要在"产品安全"与"生产调控"维度,同时各省份在养殖管理与路径选择上存在差异;区域差异总体呈波动下降,生猪产业基础薄弱地区在协同提升方面仍面临约束;全国层面存在显著β收敛,但空间溢出效应对收敛速度具有一定抑制.据此,建议持续完善风险防控与应急调节机制,巩固绿色低碳与资源节约投入;实施分区分类扶持与协同治理,优化政策跟踪评估与动态纠偏,以推动生猪产业高质量发展.

Based on panel data covering 30 Chinese provinces from 2014 to 2022,this study employs the entropy weight-TOPSIS method to measure the high-quality development of the swine industry.The Dagum Gini coefficient,kernel density estimation,and convergence models are utilized to characterize spatiotemporal differentiation and examine convergence properties and spatial spillover effects.The results show that during 2014-2022,the high-quality development of China's swine industry followed a dynamic trajectory of"steady ascent-periodic fluctuation-significant decline-rapid recovery".Policy priorities throughout the study period concentrated primarily on the dimensions of"product safety"and"production regulation,"while provincial heterogeneity persisted in breeding management practices and development pathways.Regional disparities exhibited a fluctuating downward trend,yet regions with weak industrial foundations continue to face constraints in collaborative upgrading.Although spatial spillover effects exert inhibiting influence on the convergence speed,significant β-convergence is identified at the national level.Accordingly,policy recommendations are proposed including strengthening risk prevention,control,and emergency adjustment mechanisms,consolidating investments in green,low-carbon,and resource-conserving technologies,implementing regionally differentiated support policies and collaborative governance frameworks,and optimizing policy tracking,evaluation,and dynamic correction mechanisms to advance high-quality development in the swine industry.

张海钊;宋春雨;周慧;胡向东

中国农业科学院 农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081中国人民大学 农业与农村发展学院,北京 100872中国农业科学院 农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081中国农业科学院 农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081

管理科学

生猪产业高质量发展文本分析熵权-TOPSIS法收敛

hog industryhigh-quality developmenttext analysisTOPSISconvergence

《农林经济管理学报》 2026 (2)

236-247,12

国家自然科学基金重点项目(72033009)、中国农业科学院科技创新工程(10-IAED-01-2025)和国家重点研发计划(2023YFD1301905)

10.16195/j.cnki.cn36-1328/f.2026.02.25

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