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运用国家规划工具赋能农民增收:目标演进与未来趋向OACHSSCD

Empowering farmers'income growth with national planning tools:goal evolution and future trends

中文摘要英文摘要

基于全国及省级统计数据,运用趋势分析和比较分析方法,总结"六五"至"十四五"期间国家五年规划(计划)对农民增收的赋能机制,并对"十五五"时期的发展基础与关键挑战进行研判.结果表明,农村居民收入增速总体高于规划预设目标,收入来源由农业经营驱动逐步转向多元协同,城乡居民收入倍差稳步收窄.然而,收入"领跑"省份数量有所减少,且进一步向东部地区集中,不同省份农民增收动能呈现分化特征,城乡之间及农村内部的绝对收入差距仍在扩大.据此,建议"十五五"时期坚持共同富裕导向,科学设定增收目标,实施区域差异化的增收支持政策,深化关键领域改革,健全规划协同与动态监测机制.

Based on national and provincial statistical data,this study employs trend analysis and comparative analysis methods to summarize the enabling mechanisms of China's five-year plans from the Sixth Five-Year Plan to the Fourteenth Five-Year Plan period in promoting farmers'income growth.It also examines the development foundation for and key challenges confronting the Fifteenth Five-Year Plan period.The results show that the growth rate of farmers'income has generally exceeded planning expectations,with income sources shifting from agricultural operations to diversified and synergistic drivers,and with the urban-rural income ratio steadily narrowed.However,the number of leading provinces in terms of income levels has decreased and become further concentrated in the eastern region.Different provinces exhibit distinct characteristics in the drivers of farmers'income growth,while absolute income gaps,both between urban and rural areas and within rural areas themselves,continue to widen.Accordingly,during the Fifteenth Five-Year Plan period,efforts should adhere to the common prosperity orientation,set growth targets on a scientific basis,implement regionally differentiated income support policies,deepen reforms in key areas,and refine the mechanisms for plan implementation and dynamic monitoring.

史鹏飞;王佳佳

农业农村部 农村经济研究中心,北京 100810兰州大学 草地农业科技学院,甘肃 兰州 730020

管理科学

农民增收共同富裕"十五五"规划

farmers'income growthcommon prosperitythe Fifteenth Five-Year Plan

《农林经济管理学报》 2026 (2)

149-158,10

国家自然科学基金面上项目(72573165)和国家统计局全国统计科学研究项目(2023LY057)

10.16195/j.cnki.cn36-1328/f.2026.02.16

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