基于综合集成赋权法的灌区发展状况综合评价OA
Comprehensive Evaluation of Irrigation District Development Status Based on the Comprehensive Integrated Weighting Method
灌区作为我国农业生产、粮食安全与生态文明建设的核心支撑,科学评价其发展状况是优化管理策略、提升运行效益的关键.目前,在灌区评价中,单一赋权法存在明显局限性;主观赋权法易受人为经验偏差影响,而客观赋权法则难以体现实际管理需求,这导致指标权重不合理,从而使得评价结果缺乏针对性.聚焦于"如何构建兼顾主客观因素的灌区综合评价体系"这一核心问题,提出采用综合集成赋权法,通过对层次分析法(主观)与变异系数法(客观)确定的权重进行再赋权,以量化主客观权重的相对重要性,从而提升指标权重的科学性.以新疆昌吉州9个中型灌区为研究对象,从用水情况、工程设施、管理水平和生产效益4个维度构建了12项评价指标体系,并结合灰色关联法与近似理想点法进行了对比验证.结果表明,3种方法在评价排序上基本一致,而综合集成赋权法能够更精准地反映灌区多维度发展的差异,为识别灌区短板提供了明确指向.
As irrigation districts serve as the core support for agricultural production,food security,and ecological civilization construction in China,scientifically evaluating their development status is the key to optimizing management strategies and enhancing operational efficiency.At present,in the evaluation of irrigation districts,single weighting methods have obvious limitations.Subjective weighting methods are easily influenced by human experience biases,while objective weighting methods often fail to reflect actual management needs.This leads to unreasonable index weights,thus making the evaluation results lack pertinence.This paper focuses on the core issue of"how to construct a comprehensive evaluation system for irrigation districts that takes into account both subjective and objective factors",and proposes a comprehensive integration weighting method.By re-weighting the weights determined by the Analytic Hierarchy Process(subjective)and the Coefficient of Variation method(objective),the relative importance of the subjective and objective weights can be quantified,thereby enhancing the scientific nature of the index weights.Using 9 medium-sized irrigation districts in Changji Prefecture,Xinjiang as the research objects,an evaluation index system comprising 12 indicators was constructed from four dimensions:water usage,engineering facilities,management level,and production efficiency,and the evaluation results were compared and verified by combining the grey correlation method and the approximate ideal point method.The results show that the three methods are basically consistent in evaluation ranking,and the comprehensive integration weighting method can more accurately reflect the differences in the multi-dimensional development of irrigation districts,providing a clear direction for identifying their shortcomings.
朱秀珍;雷波;白明皓;杨开静
中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100048中国灌溉排水发展中心,北京 100054中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100048中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100048
农业科技
灌区发展状况指标权重综合集成赋权法变异系数法灰色关联法再赋权
irrigation districts development statusindicator weightcomprehensive integrated weighting methodcoefficient of variation methodgrey relational analysisre-weighting
《节水灌溉》 2026 (4)
19-25,30,8
国家自然科学基金项目(52779054).
评论