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新质生产力的发展能否反哺金融业?OACHSSCD

Can Development of New Quality Productive Forces Give Back to the Financial Industry?An Empirical Study from the Perspective of Local Bank Credit Risk Prevention and Control

中文摘要英文摘要

从地方银行信贷风险防控的视角出发,实证检验了新质生产力对金融业的反哺作用.研究发现,省域新质生产力的发展可以提升企业经营质量,因而有助于抑制辖内地方银行的信贷风险.除了直接影响,省域新质生产力的发展,还可以通过"降低地方银行的风险承担意愿、降低地方银行对传统生息业务的依赖程度"两条途径,间接抑制其信贷风险.优化省域产业结构、提升市场一体化水平,均有助于强化新质生产力对信贷风险的抑制作用.此外,微观层面上,新质生产力具有"扶弱济困"的特点,对于那些"资产规模偏小、雇员冗余严重、数字化程度不高"的弱势地方银行,风险抑制作用更为强烈;宏观层面上,新质生产力具有"因势利导"的作用,可以强化金融严监管对地方银行信贷风险的抑制效果.

This study empirically examines the feedback effect of new quality productive forces on the financial sector from the perspective of local bank credit risk prevention and control.Research has found that the development of new quality productive forces in provincial areas can improve the quality of enterprise operation,thereby helping to curb credit risks for local banks within their jurisdiction.In addition to direct impact,the development of new quality productive forces in the province can also indirectly contain its credit risk through two ways:reducing the willingness of local banks to bear risks and decreasing their dependence on traditional interest bearing businesses.Optimizing the provincial industrial structure and enhancing the level of market integration can help strengthen the inhibitory effect of new quality productive forces on credit risks.In addition,at the micro level,new quality productive forces are characterized by supporting the weak and helping the poor.For weak local banks with small asset size,severe employee redundancy,and low digitalization levels,the risk curbing effect is stronger;at the macro level,the new quality productive forces can play a channeling and guiding role that enhances the inhibitory effect of stringent financial regulations on credit risks in local banks.

王龑;杨皓健

大连民族大学 经济管理学院,辽宁 大连 116000大连民族大学 经济管理学院,辽宁 大连 116000

管理科学

新质生产力金融业信贷风险产业结构优化金融监管

new quality productive forcesfinancial sectorcredit riskoptimization of industrial structurefinancial regulation

《金融理论与教学》 2026 (2)

36-47,106,13

2026年度辽宁省经济社会发展研究课题"人口老龄化影响商业银行系统性风险的机制分析、对策检验与辽宁省风险防控路径构建研究"(2026lslybkt-089).

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