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数实融合发展水平测度、区域差异及时空演变OACHSSCD

Measurement of the Level of Digital and Real Economy Integration,Regional Differences and Spatio-temporal Evolution

中文摘要英文摘要

本文以 2011~2023 年中国 31 个省(区、市)面板数据为研究对象,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型构建并测度省域数实融合发展水平,通过 Dagum 基尼系数、核密度估计、空间相关性检验等方法,揭示了中国数实融合发展的区域差异与时空演变规律.研究发现:(1)中国数实融合发展取得显著成效,数实融合发展水平整体呈稳步上升态势,但四大区域呈现东部领跑、中部紧随、东北与西部依次递减的梯度发展格局;(2)区域间差异是造成中国数实融合总体发展不平衡的核心成因,且东西区域间的差异最为突出,区域内差异也呈现出"东部>西部>东北>中部"的区域分化特征;(3)时空演变特征显著.时间维度上,全国及四大区域核密度曲线整体右移,数实融合发展水平持续提高,集聚态势趋弱,东部与西部呈显著右拖尾,中部存在低水平省(区、市)且左拖尾,东北则相对趋同.空间维度上,数实融合水平呈现为"东部在高高象限集聚,西部在低低象限集聚"显著正向的空间集聚态势.本文研究结果可以为数实融合促进数字中国建设提供数据支撑和政策参考.

Utilizing panel data from 31 provinces in China spanning the period 2011 to 2023,this study constructs and measures the level of integration between the digital and real economies at the provincial level by employing the entropy method and the coupling coordination degree model.Through a combination of analytical methods—including the Dagum Gini coefficient decom-position,kernel density estimation,and spatial correlation tests—the regional disparities and spatiotemporal evolution patterns of digital-real economic integration across China are systematically examined.The key findings are as follows:(1)China has a-chieved significant progress in the integrated development of its digital and real economies,with an overall upward trend observed o-ver time.However,a clear gradient pattern exists among the four major regions:the eastern region leads in development,followed by the central region,while the northeastern and western regions lag successively.(2)Regional disparities constitute the primary driver of imbalanced development in digital-real economic integration nationwide,with the gap between the eastern and western re-gions being particularly pronounced.Intra-regional disparities also exhibit a distinct hierarchy—east>west>northeast>central—in terms of variation magnitude.(3)Significant spatiotemporal evolution characteristics are evident.Over time,the national and re-gional kernel density curves have shifted rightward,indicating a continuous improvement in integration levels and a weakening of po-larization trends.The eastern and western regions display notable right-tail lags,whereas the central region is characterized by low-level convergence and left-tail lagging;the northeastern region shows relatively similar dynamics.Spatially,the integration level exhibits a significantly positive spatial agglomeration pattern,with high-value clusters concentrated in the eastern region and low-value clusters in the western region.The research results of this article can provide data support and policy references for promoting the construction of Digital China through the integration of the digital and real economies.

肖宇博;刘璇

渤海大学经济学院,锦州 121013营口理工学院经济管理学院,营口 115014

管理科学

数实融合区域差异时空演变耦合协调度模型Dagum基尼系数核密度估计空间相关性检验熵值法

integration of digital and real economiesregional disparitiesspatiotemporal evolutioncoupling coordination degree modelDagum Gini coefficientkernel density estimationspatial correlation testentropy method

《工业技术经济》 2026 (5)

122-133,12

2025年辽宁省社会科学规划基金青年项目"城乡老龄化梯度下辽宁银发经济驱动产业升级的协同演化与空间效应研究"(项目编号:L25CJY026).

10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2026.05.011

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