首页|期刊导航|赣南医科大学学报|2016-2023年赣州市赣县区居民死亡率与死因谱变化趋势分析

2016-2023年赣州市赣县区居民死亡率与死因谱变化趋势分析OA

Analysis of the trend of mortality and cause of death spectrum changes among residents in Ganxian District,Ganzhou City from 2016 to 2023

中文摘要英文摘要

目的:了解2016-2023年赣州市赣县区常住居民死亡率与死因谱变化趋势,为制定疾病防控策略提供科学依据.方法:收集2016-2023年赣县区常住居民死亡个案数据,对人群的粗死亡率、标准化死亡率、死因顺位及年度变化百分比(Annual percent change,APC)等统计指标进行分析.结果:2016-2023年赣县区常住居民年均粗死亡率为682.63/10万,标化死亡率为626.38/10万,男性居民粗死亡率和标化死亡率均高于女性(P<0.05).全人群(APC=3.252,P=0.006)、男性居民(APC=2.634,P=0.019)和女性居民的粗死亡率(APC=3.977,P=0.003)均呈上升趋势,全人群、男性居民和女性居民的标化死亡率整体未见明显变化趋势.2016-2023年年龄别粗死亡率呈"√"形.前5位死因保持相对稳定,依次为:脑血管疾病、心脏病、呼吸系统疾病、恶性肿瘤以及损伤与中毒.全人群和男性居民的前5位死因顺位完全一致,女性居民的前2位死因与他们顺序相反,第3~5位死因顺位一致.分年度看,脑血管疾病从首位降至第二位,而心脏病则从第二位跃居首位.同时,呼吸系统疾病和恶性肿瘤的粗死亡率均呈上升趋势.肺癌和肝癌的粗死亡率均呈上升趋势.肺炎粗死亡率呈上升趋势,尘肺粗死亡率呈下降趋势.自杀粗死亡率呈上升趋势.结论:赣县区常住居民粗死亡率呈现上升趋势,标化死亡率整体未见明显变化趋势.脑血管病、心脏病、呼吸系统疾病、恶性肿瘤等慢性非传染性疾病是影响赣州市赣县区居民健康的主要疾病.赣县区应针对性的开展各项慢性病防控工作,减少慢性病的发病和死亡,提高人群健康水平.

Objective:To understand the trends in mortality rates and cause-of-death spectrum among permanent residents in Ganxian District of Ganzhou City from 2016 to 2023,so as to provide a scientific basis for formulating disease prevention and control strategies.Methods:Collect death case data of permanent residents in Ganxian District from 2016 to 2023,and statistical indicators such as crude mortality rate,standardized mortality rate,cause of death order,and annual percentage change(APC)were analyzed.Results:The average annual crude mortality rate for permanent residents of Ganxian district in 2016-2023 was 682.63/100 000 and the standardized mortality rate was 626.38/100 000,with male residents having a higher crude mortality rate and a higher standardized mortality rate than females(P<0.05).Crude mortality rates showed an upward trend across the entire population(APC=3.252,P=0.006),among male residents(APC=2.634,P=0.019),and among female residents(APC=3.977,P=0.003).However,the overall standardized mortality rates for the entire population,male residents,and female residents showed no significant change trend.Age-specific crude mortality rates showed a √ shape from 2016-2023.The top 5 causes of death remained relatively stable,in the following order:cerebrovascular disease,heart disease,respiratory disease,malignant neoplasm,and injury and poisoning.The order of the top 5 causes of death was identical for the whole population and the male population,The top two causes of death among women were reversed,while the order of the 3rd to 5th causes of death remains consistent.On an annual basis,cerebrovascular diseases dropped from the first to the second place,while heart diseases jumped from the second to the first place.At the same time,the crude death rates of respiratory diseases and malignant tumors both showed an upward trend.The crude death rates for lung cancer and liver cancer were both on the rise.The crude mortality rate for pneumonia was on the rise,while that for pneumoconiosis was declining.The crude mortality rate for suicide was also increasing.Conclusion:The crude mortality rate among permanent residents in Ganzian District has shown an upward trend,while the standardized mortality rate has not exhibited a significant overall change.Chronic non-communicable diseases,including cerebrovascular disease,heart disease,respiratory system diseases,and malignant tumors,are the primary conditions affecting the health of residents in Ganzian District.Targeted prevention and control measures for chronic diseases should be implemented to reduce their incidence and mortality,thereby improving the health level of the population.

刘慧琴;刘军胜;陈昊星;何文鑫;罗文云;王莹;薛花

赣县区疾病预防控制中心赣县区疾病预防控制中心赣县区疾病预防控制中心赣县区疾病预防控制中心赣县区疾病预防控制中心赣县区疾病预防控制中心赣州市疾病预防控制中心,江西 赣州 341000

医药卫生

死因监测死亡率死因顺位趋势分析

Cause of death monitoringMortality rateCause of death rankingTrend analysis

《赣南医科大学学报》 2026 (3)

242-247,6

10.3969/j.issn.2097-7174.2026.03.008

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