现行财税价格政策下地热项目投资经济性分析OACHSSCD
Economic analysis of geothermal investment projects under the current finance,tax and price policies
虽然近年来地方政府地热资源矿业权出让收益金、地热资源税、供暖价格等政策陆续到位或更新,但实际投产的地热项目经济性并不乐观.通过对近年地方政府相关政策、地热项目投资收益情况的调研,以及典型地热项目投资效益的模拟分析,认为未来地热项目的投资除了重点关注地热资源本身的禀赋、地热市场未来的预期、商务模式的选择外,还应该关注不同地区城镇化进程、供热供暖价格政策、相关税费水平、优惠补贴政策的差异.建议投资地热项目时,结合各地区售热供暖价格水平,选择项目运营的商务模式;关注地方政府发布的财税政策,慎重预测项目未来的收益;结合项目所在地城镇化发展水平,确认项目收入的实现程度.
The economic viability of operational geothermal projects remains poor although local governments have gradually implemented or updated such policies as revenue from the transfer of geothermal resource mining rights,geothermal resource taxes,and heating prices in recent years.Based on a review of local government policies,an investigation of investment returns from geothermal projects,and simulation studies of typical project investment performance,the paper finds that future investments in geothermal projects should focus not only on the intrinsic endowment of geothermal resources,market expectations,and business models,but also on regional urbanization progress,heating price policies,relevant tax and fee levels,and preferential subsidy policies.The paper,when investing in geothermal projects,suggests to choose the appropriate operational business model based on local district heating price levels,pay close attention to local government fiscal and tax policies and carefully forecast future project returns,as well as identify the feasibility of revenue realization based on the level of urbanization in the project area.
杜敏;韩笑;朱晨昊;马爱媛
中国石油规划总院中国石油规划总院中国石油规划总院对外经济贸易大学中国金融学院
管理科学
地热供暖地热供热矿业权出让收益资源税价格投资收益率
geothermal heatinggeothermal heatingrevenue from mining rights transferresource taxpricesreturn on investment
《国际石油经济》 2026 (4)
74-82,9
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