农村电商发展对县域多维贫困缓解的效应分析OACHSSCD
Analysis of the Impact of Rural E-Commerce Development on Alleviating County-Level Multidimensional Poverty
农村电子商务是实现脱贫攻坚成果同乡村振兴有效衔接的重要引擎.本文基于2010-2021年县域面板数据,以电子商务进农村综合示范县政策作为准自然实验,采用多时点DID模型、空间DID模型检验农村电子商务发展对县域多维贫困的影响.研究结果表明:第一,农村电子商务发展可以显著缓解县域多维贫困,经过系列内生性和稳健性检验后结论依然成立;第二,作用机制检验表明,农村电子商务发展主要通过提高创业活跃度和促进农业服务业发展缓解县域多维贫困.第三,农村电子商务发展存在空间溢出效应,能显著降低周边地区县域多维贫困水平.第四,异质性检验表明,在南方、非国家级贫困县和数字乡村建设水平较高地区农村电子商务发展对县域多维贫困的作用效果更为明显.本文为实现脱贫攻坚向全面推进乡村振兴的平稳过渡提供决策参考和经验证据.
Rural e-commerce is an important engine to link the achievements of rural poverty alleviation with rural revitalization.Based on the county-level panel data from 2010 to 2021,this study takes the comprehensive demonstration county policy for e-commerce entering rural areas as a quasi-natural experiment,and test the impact of rural e-commerce development on county-level multidimensional poverty by a multi-period Difference-in-Dif-ferences(DID)model and a spatial DID model.The results show that:First,rural e-commerce development can significantly alleviate county-level multidimensional poverty,and the conclusion remains valid after a series of endogeneity and robustness tests.Second,mechanism tests indicate that rural e-commerce development alleviates county-level multidimensional poverty mainly by enhancing entrepreneurial activity and promoting the agricultural services industry.Third,rural e-commerce development exhibits a spatial spillover effect,which can significantly reduce the level of multidimensional poverty in surrounding counties.Fourth,heterogeneity tests show that the impact is more obvious in the south,non-poor counties,and areas with a higher level of digital rural construction.
张俊;冯越珺
安徽财经大学经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030安徽财经大学经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030
管理科学
县域多维贫困电子商务多时点双重差分空间双重差分
county-level multidimensional povertye-commercemulti-period DIDspatial DID
《成都大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (2)
71-88,18
2022年安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目"双碳目标下安徽粮食生产生态效率评价及提升路径研究"(项目编号:AHSKY2022D060).
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