全球水产品贸易网络韧性分析OA
Resilience analysis of the global aquatic products trade network
水产品贸易不仅关乎粮食安全,更是经济发展的重要驱动力.本文选取鱼类、甲壳类和软体动物类三类主要水产品,基于2005-2023年数据,构建全球水产品贸易网络,深入对比分析三类水产品贸易网络的韧性.研究结果表明:鱼类贸易网络集聚性和传输性较强,层级性较低,三类水产品贸易网络均为异配性网络;美国在全球水产品贸易网络中占据重要地位,中国在全球水产品贸易中的地位显著提升;通过冲击模拟发现,确定性扰动策略对网络效率的影响比随机性扰动策略大,鱼类贸易网络韧性强于甲壳类贸易网络和软体动物类贸易网络.最后,根据全球水产品贸易网络韧性特征,建议加大产品技术投入,提高创新能力,加强贸易合作,开展风险评估并制定应对预案.
Aquatic products trade is not only a matter of food security,but also an important driver of economic development.This paper selects three major categories of fish,crustaceans and molluscs as the main aquatic products,and constructs a global aquatic products trade network based on data from 2005 to 2023,and analyzes the resilience of the three categories of aquatic products trade network in an in-depth comparative manner.The research findings indicate that the fish trade network exhibits strong agglomeration and transmission properties,with low hierarchical structure,and all three types of aquatic product trade networks are assortative networks.The United States occupies an important position in the global aquatic product trade network,while China's position in global aquatic product trade has significantly improved.Through shock simulation,it is found that deterministic perturbation strategies have a greater impact on network efficiency than stochastic perturbation strategies,and the resilience of the fish trade network is stronger than that of the crustacean and mollusk trade networks.Finally,based on the resilience characteristics of the global aquatic product trade network,it is recommended to increase product technology investment,enhance innovation capabilities,strengthen trade cooperation,conduct risk assessments,and develop contingency plans.Finally,based on the resilience characteristics of the global aquatic products trade network,some policy recommendations are put forward that can help to enhance the stability and risk-resistance of China's aquatic products trade,and strengthen China's competitiveness in global aquatic products trade.
温绍钰
中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛 266100
管理科学
水产品贸易网络贸易网络韧性中断模拟
aquatic products trade networktrade network resiliencedisruption simulation
《中国渔业经济》 2026 (4)
84-94,11
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