柿子产业发展现状及高质量发展路径研究OA
Research on the current development status and high-quality development path of the persimmon industry
乡村振兴背景下,特色果品产业的高质量发展面临着增长方式、产业链承载能力与市场波动的匹配挑战.基于联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)统计数据库的收获面积、产量、进出口数量与生产者价格数据,以及中国知网乡村振兴专题数据库的国内柿子产量与分省年度序列,选取2018-2023年作为研究窗口,分析我国柿子产业的生产规模、区域集聚与贸易变化,并结合生产者价格序列分析其长期波动特征.研究结果表明,2018-2023年我国柿子产量增长约26.7%,收获面积增长约25.4%,但单产下降约3.8%,显示出产量增长更多依赖于面积扩张而非单产提升.贸易方面,柿子出口量总体呈增长态势,但年际波动较为显著,进口量长期处于低位,净出口量接近出口量,外向型需求有所提升,但国内市场仍是主要消费市场.区域格局方面,柿子主产区的集聚趋势愈加明显,2023年广西的产量占比约为37.1%,前五省份的合计占比达到75.4%.基于此,提出通过标准体系与品质一致性建设、采后商品化处理与冷链集配能力的提升、加工端标准化吸纳能力的增强,以及品牌与渠道协同发展,实现柿子产业的全链条升级.
High-quality development of specialty fruit industries under China's rural revitalization agenda requires that growth patterns,supply-chain capacity,and market volatility be better aligned.Drawing on harvested area,output,trade quantities,and producer price data from the FAO statistical database,together with national and province-level persimmon output series from the CNKI Rural Revitalization Thematic Database,this study uses 2018-2023 as the main observation window to examine changes in production scale,spatial concentration,and trade dynamics in China's persimmon industry,and characterizes longer-run price fluctuations using the 1998-2021 producer price series.Results show that output increased by about 26.7%and harvested area by about 25.4%over 2018-2023,while yield declined by about 3.8%,indicating that recent expansion has been driven primarily by area growth rather than yield gains.On the trade side,exports increased overall but displayed pronounced interannual volatility,whereas imports remained negligible;net exports closely tracked exports,suggesting a rising outward orientation while domestic demand continues to absorb most production.Spatial concentration strengthened,with Guangxi accounting for roughly 37.1%of national output in 2023 and the top five provinces together contributing about 75.4%.These findings underscore the need for whole-chain upgrading,including stronger standards and quality consistency,improved postharvest commercialization and cold-chain aggregation capacity,enhanced standardized processing to absorb seasonal supply,and coordinated development of branding and marketing channels.
张萌;乔欧盟
农业农村部南京农业机械化研究所,南京市,210014||农业农村部现代农业装备重点实验室,南京市,210014农业农村部南京农业机械化研究所,南京市,210014||农业农村部现代农业装备重点实验室,南京市,210014
管理科学
柿子产业链区域集聚贸易高质量发展
persimmonvalue chainspatial concentrationtradehigh-quality development
《中国农机化学报》 2026 (3)
268-274,285,8
国家自然科学基金面上项目(72373055)
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