不同指标对老年肺炎患者病情严重程度的评估价值及预后的预测价值OA
Evaluation Value of Different Indicators on the Severity of Pneumonia in Elderly Patients and the Predictive Value of Prognosis
目的 研究不同指标对老年肺炎患者病情严重程度的评估价值及预后的预测价值.方法 纳入 2023 年 12 月-2024 年 12月安徽医科大学第三附属医院收治的老年肺炎患者 62 例,收集患者临床资料,统计老年肺炎患者预后不良发生率,并采用单因素及多因素Logistic回归分析患者入院死亡的影响因素.绘制ROC曲线以评估不同指标对患者入院死亡的预测价值.结果 62 例肺炎患者预后不良 35 例,占 56.45%;预后良好 27 例,占 43.55%.两组性别、糖尿病、阿尔茨海默病、是否卧床、淋巴细胞计数、中性粒细胞、NLR、CRP、白蛋白、前白蛋白比较,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);多因素二元Logistic回归分析显示,阿尔茨海默病、中性粒细胞、CRP、NLR均是老年肺炎患者死亡的危险因素(P<0.05);ROC曲线分析显示,NLR与CRP联合诊断的曲线下面积大于单独诊断,具有良好的预测效能(P<0.05).结论 NLR与CRP联合能更准确地评估老年肺炎患者病情严重程度,对患者预后具有较高的预测价值,为临床制定治疗方案和判断患者转归提供了重要依据.
Objective To study the value of different indicators in evaluating the severity and predicting the prognosis of elderly patients with pneumonia.Methods A total of 62 elderly patients with pneumonia admitted to the Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from December 2023 to December 2024 were enrolled.The clinical data of the patients were collected,and the incidence of poor prognosis in elderly patients with pneumonia was statistically analyzed.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of admission death.ROC curve was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of different indicators for admission death.Results There were 35 cases of poor prognosis in 62 patients with pneumonia,accounting for 56.45%;27 cases had good prognosis,accounting for 43.55%.There were significant differences in gender,diabetes mellitus,Alzheimer disease,bed rest,lymphocyte count,neutrophil,NLR,CRP,albumin and prealbumin between the two groups(P<0.05).Multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis showed that Alzheimer disease,neutrophils,CRP and NLR were risk factors for death in elderly patients with pneumonia(P<0.05).ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of combined diagnosis of NLR and CRP was greater than that of single diagnosis,with good predictive efficacy(P<0.05).Conclusion The combination of NLR and CRP can more accurately evaluate the severity of pneumonia in elderly patients,and has a high predictive value for the prognosis of patients,which provides an important basis for clinical treatment and prognosis.
王娜;倪刚
安徽医科大学第三附属医院老年科,安徽 合肥 230000安徽医科大学第三附属医院老年科,安徽 合肥 230000
医药卫生
老年肺炎中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值预测价值
Senile pneumoniaNeutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratioPredictive value
《医学信息》 2026 (6)
110-114,5
安徽省高校健康智库咨政项目(编号:2023szk001)
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