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基于综合指标法的国土空间总体规划气候风险评估方法研究OACHSSCD

Research on Climate Risk Assessment Method for National Territorial Spatial Planning Based on Comprehensive Index Method

中文摘要英文摘要

当前气候变化已经成为最受关注的议题之一.为了在国土空间总体规划中纳入适应气候变化的内容,需要通过气候风险评估开展基础分析.既有的风险评估方法中综合指标法是一种简便实用且应用广泛的方法,但其应用中也存在混合气候变化的不同影响、指标设定一致性不足等问题.通过优化综合指标法的评估框架,提出了分地区类型、分风险影响类型的气候风险评估技术方法,使其更加适应国土空间总体规划的需求,并以上海市中心城作为案例区域,对方法的具体应用情况进行了阐释说明.

Climate change has become one of the most pressing issues.In order to incorporate climate change adaptation into territorial spatial master planning,it is necessary to conduct basic analysis through climate risk assessment.Among existing risk assessment methods,the comprehensive index method is a logically clear and widely used method.However,there are problems such as excessive evaluation elements and lack of specificity in its application.By optimizing the framework of this method,this paper proposes a technical approach that differentiates by region type and risk impact category,which is designed to better align with the requirements of territorial spatial master planning.The specific application process of the method is explained in detail using the central city of Shanghai as a case study.

钱昊;姜紫莹;李梦芸;刘龙;时寅;田田甜

上海市城市规划设计研究院||上海市量子城市空间智能创新重点实验室(筹)规划分中心上海市城市规划设计研究院上海市城市规划设计研究院上海市城市规划设计研究院上海市城市规划设计研究院上海市城市规划设计研究院

建筑与水利

气候风险评估综合指标法国土空间总体规划上海

climate risk assessmentcomprehensive index methodterritorial spatial master planningShanghai

《上海城市规划》 2026 (1)

127-134,8

10.11982/j.supr.20260117

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