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晋北地区飑线下山变化特征对比分析OA

Comparison Analysis of Changing Characteristics of Squall Lines Descending Mountains in the Northern Shanxi Province

中文摘要英文摘要

利用2021-2023年暖季(5-9月)华北区域雷达组合反射率因子拼图产品、地面观测和单站雷达资料以及ERA5再分析资料,对晋北地区飑线下山变化特征进行统计分析,最终筛选出29条飑线.根据飑线移来方向分为四种类型:偏西移来型、西北移来型、偏北移来型、盆地新生型;根据飑线下山强度变化分为三种类型:下山增强型、下山减弱型和下山维持型,其中下山减弱型最多(占比67%).同时发现,偏西移来型均是下山减弱型,偏北移来型均是下山增强型,而西北移来型包含下山增强型、减弱型和维持型.通过对西北移来型中的下山增强型和减弱型飑线下山移动前方的环境背景对比发现,下山增强型相比下山减弱型在动力条件上稍强,而在水汽条件、对流有效位能和垂直风切变条件上相当或略差.因此根据飑线移动前方的环境条件很难准确判断飑线下山增强还是减弱.在短时临近预报中可以根据雷达资料提前判断飑线下山增强还是减弱.下山增强型飑线回波强度较强,移速在17 m·s-1左右,反射率因子梯度大值区出现在飑线前部,飑线整体形态呈弓形,伴随有阵风锋,径向速度剖面图可显示出明显的前侧入流沿着后侧入流倾斜上升的组织结构.下山减弱型飑线回波强度较弱或中等,移速在10 m·s-1以下,反射率因子梯度大值区出现在飑线后部,飑线整体形态较平直,没有伴随阵风锋,径向速度剖面图未能显示明显的前侧入流沿着后侧入流倾斜上升的组织结构.

This article utilizes North China regional radar composite reflectivity factor mosaic products,single-site radar data from northern Shanxi,ERA5 reanalysis data,and surface observation data collected in the warm season(May-September)of 2021-2023,and conducts statistical analyses on the changing characteristics of squall lines descending mountains in this region.The results show that a total of 29 squall lines are identified,and following the moving directions of the squall lines,they are classified into four types:west-moving,northwest-moving,north-moving,and basin-originating.Then,based on their intensity changes when descending mountains,they are classified into three types:intensifying,weak-ening,and maintaining types,of which the weakening type is the most common,accounting for 67%of the total.All west-moving squall lines belong to the weakening type upon descent,while all north-moving types of squall lines are of the intensifying type.The northwest-moving type includes squall lines that in-tensify,weaken or maintain the intensity upon descent.Analysis of the environmental background ahead of the descending path for intensifying and weakening types within the northwest-moving squall lines re-veals that,compared to weakening squall lines,the intensifying ones exhibit slightly stronger dynamic conditions,while conditions related to moisture,convective available potential energy and vertical wind shear are comparable or slightly poorer.Therefore,it's difficult to accurately forecast whether a squall line will intensify or weaken upon descent based solely on the environmental conditions ahead of its path.For short-time nowcasting,radar data can be used to forecast whether a squall line will intensify or weaken upon descent.The intensifying squall lines upon descent typically exhibit stronger echo intensity,with moving speed around 17 m·s-1.Large gradient zone of reflectivity factor is concentrated in the front sec-tion of a squall line,with an overall bow-shaped squall line accompanied by a gust front.Radial velocity cross-section shows a distinct organized structure with forward inflow ascending slantwise along the rear inflow.In contrast,the weakening squall lines upon descent typically have weak or moderate echo intensi-ty,and their moving speeds are generally below 10 m·s-1.Large gradient zone of reflectivity factor ap-pears at the rear part of a squall line,which has overall a straighter shape,not accompanied by gust front.On the radial velocity cross-section,there is no distinct organized structure with forward inflow ascending slantwise along the rear inflow.

刘洁莉;闫慧;李腊平;贾利芳;李小强;王嘉媛;张志云

山西省气象服务中心,太原 030082山西省气象台,太原 030006山西省大同市气象局,大同 037010山西省大同市气象局,大同 037010山西省大同市气象局,大同 037010山西省大同市气象局,大同 037010山西省大同市气象局,大同 037010

天文与地球科学

晋北地区飑线下山对比分析

northern Shanxi Provincesquall linedescending mountaincomparison analysis

《气象》 2026 (3)

301-311,11

中国气象局复盘总结专项(FPZJ2024-018)、山西省气象局重点项目(SXKZDTQ20266403)和山西省基础研究计划面上项目(202203021211081)共同资助

10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2025.092801

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