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煤电灵活性改造对构建新型电力系统的影响OA

The Impact of Coal-fired Power Flexibility Retrofits on the Development of New-type Power System:An Exploration Based on Guangdong Province

中文摘要英文摘要

"柔性灵活"是新型电力系统的重要特征,煤电灵活性改造在新型电力系统构建中将发挥重要作用.但目前在满足新型电力系统调峰能力需求的煤电灵活性改造最佳比例方面的探索还不够充分,无法为区域煤电功能转变及其升级改造提供精准参考.以广东省为例,集成LEAP-SWITCH模型,构建电力系统"柔性灵活"量化指标体系,设置多种煤电灵活性改造情景,研究不同情景下新型电力系统"柔性灵活"特征的演变趋势,探索满足广东省新型电力系统调峰能力需求的煤电灵活性改造最佳路径.结果显示:① 中度灵活性改造情景(S2)侧重突出发电能力来满足不断增长的电力需求,且其灵活性综合表现水平最高,是最优的改造技术方案.② 煤电灵活性改造技术组合存在阈值,最优情景(S2)下煤电最小技术出力比例为20%,基荷和灵活性调峰比例为0.1∶0.7时,电力系统最为安全可靠.③"灵活性电源装机占比"、"灵活性不足概率"和"市间交易电量"3个关键量化指标可以较好反映基荷煤电转化为灵活调峰煤电以及煤电改造技术提升对电力系统的影响,为未来定量化评价新型电力系统"柔性灵活"特征提供了关键指标参考.本研究结果可以为广东省未来煤电灵活性改造、构建新型电力系统提供理论基础.

'Flexible adaptability'is a key characteristic of new-type power system,and the flexibility retrofitting of coal-fired power will play an important role in the development of new-type power system.However,current research on the optimal proportion of coal-fired power flexibility retrofitting to meet the peak-shaving capacity requirements of new-type power system is insufficient,and does not provide precise guidance for the functional transformation and retrofit of regional coal-fired power plants.The study explores the optimal path for coal-fired power flexibility retrofits to meet the peak-shaving capacity requirements of Guangdong's new-type power system.The results show that:① The moderate flexibility retrofit scenario(S2)focuses on enhancing generation capacity to meet the growing electricity demand,and it has the highest overall performance in terms of flexibility,making it the optimal retrofit technology solution.② There is a threshold for the combination of coal-fired power flexibility retrofit technologies.In the optimal scenario(S2),the minimum technical output ratio for coal-fired power is 20%,and when the proportion of baseload and flexibility for peak-shaving is 0.1∶0.7,the power system is most secure and reliable.③ The three key quantitative indicators—'proportion of installed flexible power capacity,''probability of insufficient flexibility,'and'intercity power trading volume'—can effectively reflect the transformation of baseload coal-fired power into flexible peak-shaving coal-fired power,as well as the impact of coal power retrofit technologies on the power system.These indicators provide crucial references for the future quantitative evaluation of the'flexible adaptability',characteristics of new-type power system.The results of this study provide a theoretical foundation for the future flexibility retrofitting of coal-fired power and the development of new-type power system in Guangdong Province.

卢俊曈;王文秀;蔡国田;郝伟韬

沈阳化工大学机械与动力工程学院,辽宁省 沈阳市 110142||中国科学院广州能源研究所,广东省 广州市 510640沈阳化工大学机械与动力工程学院,辽宁省 沈阳市 110142||中国科学院广州能源研究所,广东省 广州市 510640||中国科学技术大学能源科学与技术学院,安徽省 合肥市 230026沈阳化工大学机械与动力工程学院,辽宁省 沈阳市 110142||中国科学院广州能源研究所,广东省 广州市 510640||中国科学技术大学能源科学与技术学院,安徽省 合肥市 230026沈阳化工大学机械与动力工程学院,辽宁省 沈阳市 110142||中国科学院广州能源研究所,广东省 广州市 510640

信息技术与安全科学

LEAP-SWITCH灵活性煤电新型电力系统熵权法

LEAP-SWITCHflexibilitycoal-fired powernew-type power systemthe entropy weight method

《全球能源互联网》 2026 (2)

308-320,13

中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(No.XDA/29010500).The Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Grant(No.XDA/29010500).

10.19705/j.cnki.issn2096-5125.20240460

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