基于订单数据的新能源出租车出行需求影响因素分析OA
Analysis of factors influencing the travel demand of new energy taxis based on order data
[背景]随着全球能源结构转型和"双碳"战略推进,新能源出租车成为城市低碳交通体系的重要组成部分.然而,当前出租车订单需求研究缺乏对车辆类型的细致区分,针对新能源出租车订单需求的影响机制研究仍显不足.[方法]构建了针对新能源出租车订单需求影响的MD-CEV模型,以中距离出行为基准,剖析社会经济、建成环境与交通网络等多类因素在不同高峰时段对于新能源出租车短、长距离出行需求的影响,从而为分时段、分距离的运营策略和交通规划提供科学依据.[数据]研究基于天津市新能源出租车的实际运营订单数据,涵盖不同时间段、出行距离及多维环境变量.[结果]长距离订单在各高峰时段需求饱和阈值最高;高房价促进短距离出行,高人口密度抑制长距离需求;充电站和医疗类POI提升短距离订单,办公类POI在休息日抑制长距离订单;距市中心距离与短距离订单正相关,路网密度与长距离订单负相关.[结论]不同因素对新能源出租车出行需求的影响具有显著时段性和距离差异性.[应用]为新能源出租车分类运营策略制定和城市交通规划提供科学依据,助力绿色交通可持续发展.
[Background]As the global energy structure transforms and the"dual carbon"strategy gains traction,new-energy taxis have emerged as an essential component of low-carbon transporta-tion systems.However,current studies on taxi order demand lack detailed distinctions among vehicle types,resulting in insufficient influencing mechanisms of order demand for new-energy taxis.[Method]An MDCEV model of new-energy taxi order demand was developed using medium-dis-tance travel as a benchmark to quantify how socioeconomic,built environment,and transportation network attributes shape short-and long-distance demand during peak periods,allowing for more tar-geted operational strategies and planning decisions.[Data]Real-world operational data for new-ener-gy taxis in Tianjin were used to cover various time periods,trip distances,and multidimensional envi-ronmental variables.[Result]Long-distance orders showed the highest saturation threshold during peak periods:high housing prices increased short-distance demand,while high population density de-creased long-distance orders.Points of interest(POI)such as charging stations and medical facilities,boosted short-distance trips,while office POI reduced long-distance demand during weekend peaks.Distance from the city center positively correlated with short-distance trips,whereas road density negatively affected long-distance trips.[Conclusion]The impact of various factors on new energy taxi travel demand varies significantly based on the time of day and trip distance.[Application]This paper can provide scientific support for targeted operational strategies for new-energy taxis and ur-ban transport planning,with the aim of promoting sustainable green mobility.
孙少凡;卢浩;寇巳瑾;于维杰;马新卫
河北工业大学,土木与交通学院,天津 300401天津市工业和信息化研究院,天津 300081河北工业大学,土木与交通学院,天津 300401河北工业大学,土木与交通学院,天津 300401河北工业大学,土木与交通学院,天津 300401
交通工程
城市交通订单需求分析MDCEV模型新能源出租车出行距离
urban trafficorder demand analysisMDCEV modelnew-energy taxitrip distance
《交通运输工程与信息学报》 2026 (2)
106-116,11
国家自然科学基金项目(52202387)
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