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刀具剩余使用寿命预测方法研究进展OA

Review of research on methods for tool remaining useful life prediction

中文摘要英文摘要

刀具是制造业中不可或缺的工具,其剩余使用寿命(remaining useful life,RUL)的准确预测对提高生产效率和降低成本至关重要.随着工业自动化和智能化的发展,刀具RUL预测方法的改进和优化日益受到重视.系统综述刀具RUL预测领域的最新研究进展,旨在为相关研究提供全面的参考和有效的借鉴.首先,根据不同的预测原理将其分为基于物理知识模型、数据统计模型、人工智能模型和混合模型的预测方法;其次,通过对现有研究的梳理和总结,分析比较每种预测方法的原理、优点和局限性;最后,讨论刀具RUL预测方法可能面临的机遇和挑战,包括加工信号获取和处理,多传感器数据的有效融合,模型精度与泛化能力的提高以及混合模型可解释性的提升等,并对未来发展提出展望.

Significance:Cutting tools are indispensable key instruments in the manufacturing industry,whose performance status directly affects machining quality,production efficiency,and equipment safety.Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life(RUL)of tools not only enables the intelligent transition from"scheduled replacement"to"condition-based replacement"but also significantly reduces resource waste caused by premature tool changes,workpiece scrapping and even equipment damage risks due to delayed replacement.With the deep integration of industrial automation,digitalization,and smart manufacturing,tool RUL prediction has become one of the core technologies in intelligent manufacturing and predictive maintenance,holding substantial engineering application value and theoretical research significance for enhancing the overall competitiveness of the manufacturing industry.Progress:This paper systematically reviews the research progress in methods for predicting the remaining useful life of cutting tools.Based on their prediction principles,these methods are categorized into four main types,and their modeling ideas,applicable scenarios,advantages,and disadvantages are analyzed in depth.(1)Physics-based model prediction methods:These methods start from the physical mechanisms of tool wear,constructing mathematical models to describe the wear process,such as wear mechanism models,cutting force coefficient models,and finite element models.Their advantage lies in having clear physical significance and strong interpretability,making them particularly suitable for stable machining processes with well-understood mechanisms.However,these methods rely on accurate modeling of multiple physical fields in complex machining environments,face difficulties in parameter identification,and exhibit weak adaptability to dynamically changing working conditions.(2)Data-driven statistical model prediction methods:These methods do not rely on physical mechanisms but instead analyze historical monitoring data to build RUL prediction models using statistical laws.They mainly include empirical wear models(e.g.,Taylor's formula and its extended forms)and stochastic process models(e.g.,Wiener process,Gamma process,inverse Gaussian process).Such methods demonstrate good fitting capability when data is sufficient and can quantify prediction uncertainty,but their performance is limited by data quality and quantity,and their generalization ability is usually weak.(3)Artificial intelligence-based prediction methods:With the advancement of big data and computing power,artificial intelligence methods represented by machine learning and deep learning show great potential in tool RUL prediction.Machine learning models(e.g.,SVM,RVM,AR,HMM)are adept at handling small-sample and nonlinear problems;deep learning models(e.g.,RNN,LSTM,CNN,DBN)can automatically extract deep features from raw sensor data and possess stronger capabilities for temporal modeling and pattern recognition.Although AI methods offer high prediction accuracy and strong adaptability,their"black-box"nature leads to poor interpretability,and they require large volumes of high-quality labeled data.(4)Hybrid model prediction methods:To compensate for the limitations of single-method approaches,researchers in recent years tend to construct hybrid models that integrate the advantages of physics-based knowledge,data statistics,and artificial intelligence.For example,combining physical models with data-driven methods,or introducing stochastic modeling of the degradation process into the AI framework,to balance prediction accuracy and model reliability.Through multi-source information fusion and complementarity,hybrid models significantly enhance RUL prediction capability under complex working conditions,representing a current hot research direction.Conclusions and Prospects:Through a systematic review of existing research,it can be concluded that tool RUL prediction methods evolve from single models to multi-method fusion,and from offline analysis to online intelligent diagnosis.However,this field still faces the following major challenges.(1)Reliability of machining signal acquisition and processing:Industrial field data is often plagued by noise interference and incomplete sampling.There is an urgent need to develop more robust feature extraction and signal denoising methods,and to explore real-time data acquisition technologies based on new sensing methods such as intelligent tool holders.(2)Effective fusion of multi-sensor data:Effectively integrating multi-source heterogeneous information(e.g.,force,vibration,acoustic emission)and extracting common features strongly correlated with tool degradation from them are key to enhancing model robustness.(3)Balancing model accuracy and generalization ability:Most current models perform well under specific conditions but are prone to performance degradation in application scenarios with varying tool materials and machining parameters.Future research needs to explore cross-condition,adaptive,and lightweight model architectures.(4)Improving the interpretability of hybrid models:Although hybrid models have advantages in accuracy,their decision-making processes often lack transparency.Enhancing model interpretability so that their predictions can be understood and trusted by engineers is a crucial link in promoting technology implementation.

高睿君;陈洁林;刘钢;安庆龙;陈明

上海交通大学 机械与动力工程学院,上海 200240||上海交通大学 四川研究院,成都 610054||成都智远先进制造技术研究院有限公司,成都 610511上海交通大学 机械与动力工程学院,上海 200240成都智远先进制造技术研究院有限公司,成都 610511上海交通大学 机械与动力工程学院,上海 200240上海交通大学 机械与动力工程学院,上海 200240

矿业与冶金

刀具剩余使用寿命(RUL)预测概率统计机器学习神经网络

cutting toolremaining useful life(RUL)predictionprobability statisticsmachine learningneural network

《金刚石与磨料磨具工程》 2026 (1)

34-49,16

10.13394/j.cnki.jgszz.2024.0084

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