2025年新疆羊产业发展分析及2026年发展预测OA
Development Analysis of Xinjiang's Sheep Industry in 2025 and Forecast for 2026
[目的]旨在分析2025年新疆羊产业形势,对2026年羊产业进行趋势预测,针对当前羊产业存在的问题,提出对策建议.[方法]结合产业动态信息和市场行情,采取定性和定量相结合的方法.[结果]2025年新疆羊存栏量同比下降,羊出栏量、羊肉产量同比增长,玉米、豆粕、小麦麸等主要饲草料价格同比下跌,羊肉、活羊价格扭转连续3年下跌的局势,出现同比回升.新疆维吾尔自治区羊产业技术体系监测的羊规模繁育场亏损面有所减少,规模育肥场虽养殖收益较前期收窄,但整体仍保持盈利.[结论]展望2026年,随着冬季消费旺季逐步临近,季节性消费需求稳步释放,羊产业将进入"产能缓慢回升、需求趋于平稳、价格稳中有升"的良性发展通道.羊产业高质量发展导向愈发凸显,但新疆羊产业仍存在养殖模式传统、关键要素成本仍待突破等问题,使养殖户面临养殖效益提升困难的挑战,建议进一步通过推动生产模式转变、强化肉羊产业节本增效等措施实现高质量发展目标.
[Objective]This study aimed to analyze the development situation of the sheep industry in Xinjiang in 2025,forecast its trend for 2026,and propose countermeasures and recommendations to address current issues in the industry.[Methods]By combining industry dynamics information and market conditions,a method integrating both qualitative and quantitative approaches was adopted.[Results]In 2025,the sheep inventory decreased year-on-year,while the number of sheep slaughtered and mutton production increased.The prices of corn,soybean meal and wheat bran declined year-on-year,in contrast,those of mutton and live sheep reversed the three-year continuous decline and showed a year-on-year increase.The loss rate of large-scale breeding farms monitored by the Xinjiang sheep industry technology system decreased,and although the income of large-scale fattening farms had narrowed compared to previous period,overall profitability was still maintained.[Conclusion]Looking ahead to 2026,as the winter consumption peak gradually approaches and seasonal consumer demand steadily releases,the sheep industry is expected to enter a healthy development path characterized by"slow recovery of production capacity,stable demand,and steady price increases".The orientation towards high-quality development in the sheep industry is becoming increasingly prominent,however,challenges are still faced by the sheep industry in Xinjiang,such as traditional farming methods and high costs of key inputs,making it difficult for farmers to improve profitability.It was recommended to further promote the transformation of production models and implement measures to reduce costs and improve efficiency in the mutton sheep industry to achieve high-quality development goal.
森巴提·叶尔兰;杨会国;刘娜娜
新疆畜牧科学院畜牧业经济与信息研究所,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011新疆畜牧科学院畜牧研究所,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011新疆畜牧科学院畜牧业经济与信息研究所,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011
农业科技
新疆羊产业存出栏量羊肉产量羊肉价格
Xinjiangsheep industryinventory and slaughter volumemutton productionmutton price
《草食家畜》 2026 (2)
71-78,8
国家重点研发计划课题"南疆四地州农区多胎多羔肉羊产业关键技术研究与应用"(2021YDF1600701)新疆维吾尔自治区现代农业产业技术体系——羊产业技术体系专项经费项目(XJARS-09-15)
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