首页|期刊导航|中山大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)|1981-2024年广东省气候季节时空分布及其演变特征

1981-2024年广东省气候季节时空分布及其演变特征OA

Spatiotemporal distribution and evolution of climatic seasons in Guangdong Province from 1981 to 2024

中文摘要英文摘要

季节变化体现了全球及区域气候在年内的规律性变动,是人类开展生产生活所遵循的重要依据.以广东省为研究区域,基于1981-2024年86个国家气象站逐日平均气温资料,依据GB/T 42074-2022的气候季节划分指标,计算了不同季节的起始日期和长度,采用线性回归和趋势系数分析等方法,系统探讨了广东省四季起始日期和持续时长的时空演变特征,定量揭示了气候季节对区域气候变化的响应.结果表明:1)广东大部分地区属于无冬区,仅粤北偏北地区为四季分明区.2)常年四季起始时间空间差异明显,四季分明区春季南早北晚、冬季北早南晚;夏、秋季平均始于4月10日和10月31日.春、夏、秋季的常年季节长度分别为94、204、62 d,四季分明区冬季长度为40 d.3)1981-2024年,广东省四季分明区春、夏季起始日期略有提前,秋、冬季略有推迟,季节长度变化不显著;无冬区入夏显著提前[2.49 d/(10 a)],入秋显著推迟[2.22 d/(10 a)],春、秋季长度显著缩短,夏季显著延长[4.71 d/(10 a)],南部沿海部分区域变化趋势通过0.01及以上显著性检验.

Seasonal variations reflect the regular annual changes in global and regional climate patterns,serving as important references for human activities and planning.Focusing on Guangdong Province,this study analyzed onset dates and lengths of different climatic seasons across historical years using daily average temperature observations from 86 national meteorological stations from 1981 to 2024,adhering to the Chinese industry standard"Climate Season Classification(GB/T 42074-2022)".Using linear regression analysis and trend coefficient statistical methods,we systematically investigated the spatiotemporal distribution and changing patterns of climatic seasons in Guangdong,quantifying their responses to regional climate change.The findings are as follows:1)Most of Guangdong Province belongs to a"winterless"zone,with only the northernmost part being a four-distinct-season zone.2)Significant spatial heterogeneity exists in the onset dates of climatological normal seasons.Within the four-distinct-season zone,spring begins earlier in the south and later in the north,while winter starts earlier in the north and later in the south.On average,summer and autumn commence on April 10 and October 31,respectively.The climatological lengths of spring,summer,and autumn are 94,204,and 62 d,respectively,while winter lasts for 40 d in the four-distinct-season zone.3)From 1981 to 2024,in the four-distinct-season zone,the onset of spring and summer showed a slight advancing trend,while those of autumn and winter were slightly delayed,with no significant changes in season lengths.In the winterless regions,however,summer onset advanced significantly at a rate of 2.49 days per decade,while autumn onset was significantly delayed by 2.22 d per decade.This led to a significant shortening of both spring and autumn lengths and the significant extension of summer length by 4.71 d per decade.These trends reached statistical significance at the 0.01 level in some southern coastal regions.

张柳红;郑璟;杨冠华

中国气象科学研究院 & 中再巨灾风险管理股份有限公司/气象风险与保险联合开放实验室,北京 100081||广东省气候中心,广东 广州 510641中国气象科学研究院 & 中再巨灾风险管理股份有限公司/气象风险与保险联合开放实验室,北京 100081||广东省气候中心,广东 广州 510641紫金县气象局,广东 河源 517000

天文与地球科学

气候学气候季节季节早晚季节长度广东

climatologyclimatic seasonseason timingseason durationGuangdong

《中山大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)》 2026 (2)

76-87,12

中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2024J041)珠江流域(华南区域)气象科研开放基金(ZJLY202402)中国气象局重点创新团队(CMA2024ZD03)广东省基础与应用基础研究基金气象联合基金(2024A1515510034)广东省气象局科技项目(GRMC2023M11,GRMC2023M15,GRMC2024M13)气象风险与保险联合开放实验室开放基金(2024F004)

10.11714/acta.snus.ZR20250113

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