基于TOPSIS法的家庭综合减灾能力评估与提升策略OA
Assessment and Improvement Strategies of Household Comprehensive Disaster Resilience Based on the TOPSIS Method:A Case Study of 16 Districts and Counties in the North China Plain
减灾能力是度量自然灾害风险的一项重要指标.为科学评价家庭减灾能力并制定提升策略,该文在梳理已有研究成果的基础上,提出了与"家庭减灾能力"相关的概念,构建了评估范式与能力提升策略.基于16个区县抽样调查数据,针对家庭减灾能力评价指标中正负向指标共存的特殊性,利用优劣解距离法(TOPSIS)开展了家庭单项与综合减灾能力定量评估,并对其结果进行了验证和实证分析.结果表明:优劣解距离法较好地适用于家庭减灾能力的定量化评估,基于此法的家庭综合减灾能力评估范式有效实现了能力的分等定级,揭示了综合或单项能力与各影响因子间的非线性关系,阐释了家庭综合减灾能力内涵及能力提升策略量化分析的思路.
Disaster resilience is a crucial indicator for assessing natural disaster risks.To scientifically evalu-ate and develop enhancement strategies for household disaster resilience,existing research results are reviewed and the concept of"household disaster resilience"is clarified,then an assessment paradigm is established and the corresponding enhancement strategies are proposed.Based on survey data from 16 districts and counties,consid-ering the coexistence of positive and negative indicators in the evaluation system,the Technique for Order Prefer-ence by Similarity to an Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)method is applied to conduct quantitative assessments of both specific and comprehensive household disaster resilience,and the results are subsequently validated and empiri-cally analyzed.Findings indicate that the TOPSIS method is well-suited for the quantitative evaluation of house-hold disaster resilience,the assessment paradigm based on this method effectively classifies resilience levels,re-veals nonlinear relationships between comprehensive or specific resilience and various influencing factors,and elucidates the connotation of comprehensive household disaster resilience as well as approaches for quantifying resilience enhancement strategies.
丁建闯;闫方方;王芳;张洪云;赵亚红;袁德宝;李博豪;袁志祥;余洁
首都师范大学 资源环境与旅游学院,北京 100048||应急管理大学 防灾减灾工程学院,河北 三河 065201应急管理大学 防灾减灾工程学院,河北 三河 065201应急管理大学 环境与灾害治理学院,河北 三河 065201应急管理大学 环境与灾害治理学院,河北 三河 065201应急管理大学 防灾减灾工程学院,河北 三河 065201中国矿业大学(北京)地球科学与测绘工程学院,北京 100083中煤航测遥感集团有限公司,陕西 西安 710038陕西省地震局,陕西 西安 710068首都师范大学 资源环境与旅游学院,北京 100048
资源环境
家庭综合减灾能力评估范式正负向指标统一化优劣解距离法回溯法能力提升策略
householdcomprehensive disaster resilienceassessment paradigmunification of positive and negative indicatorsTOPSISbacktracking methodresilience enhancement strategies
《灾害学》 2026 (2)
75-83,9
国家自然科学基金项目"矿山地表形变空地协同监测理论与应用研究"(52174160)首都师范大学项目"自然灾害综合风险评估与区划体系研究"(21220010036)廊坊市科技支撑计划项目"基于优劣解距离法与秩和比法的综合减灾能力评估应用研究"(2022011013)中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目"微波遥感理论建模关键技术研究及防灾应用"(3142024045)
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