考虑失效概率的漂浮物作用下桥梁防船撞设施可靠性研究OA
Reliability Study of Bridge Anti-ship Collision Facilities under the Action of Floating Objects Considering Failure Probability
为降低三峡库区桥梁防船撞设施在集群式漂浮物作用下的失效风险,基于结构抗力-荷载理论,构建了漂浮物冲击与堆积荷载作用下的结构可靠性分析方法.以万州长江公路大桥为例,通过有限元仿真识别防撞设施的关键疲劳热点,对漂浮物质量、运动速度等随机参数应用蒙特卡洛法计算防撞设施的失效概率并量化防撞设施可靠性指标.结果表明,热点1和2的失效概率分别为8.98%和4.2%,均超过规范阈值(2.5%),其可靠度指标分别为1.34和1.73,均低于规范阈值(2.91);热点3的失效概率为0.18%,可靠度指标为2.91,基本满足安全要求;热点4的失效概率为1.07%,可靠度指标为2.30.因此,热点1、2和4所在范围的防撞带均需进行补强或及时清漂.
To reduce the failure risk of bridge anti-ship collision facilities in the Three Gorges Reservoir area under the action of cluster floating objects,a structural reliability method under the impact and accumulation load of floating ob-jects is established based on the resistance-load theory.Taking Wanzhou Yangtze River Highway Bridge as an example,the key fatigue hotspots of anti-collision facilities are identified by finite element simulation.According to the random pa-rameters such as mass and velocity of floating objects,the failure probability is calculated by Monte Carlo method,and the reliability index of anti-collision facilities is quantified.The results show that the failure probabilities of hotspots 1 and 2 are 8.98% and 4.2%,respectively,which exceed the specification threshold(2.5%).The reliability indexes of hot-spots 1 and 2 are 1.34 and 1.73,respectively,which are lower than the specification threshold(2.91).The failure proba-bility of hotspot 3 is 0.18%,and the reliability index is 2.91,which basically meets the safety requirements.The failure probability of hotspot 4 is 1.07%,and the reliability index is 2.30.Therefore,the anti-collision belts in the range of hot-spots 1,2 and 4 need to be reinforced or cleaned in time.
冯玉涛;王伟桥;何雨韩;万鹏;唐文志
中铁长江交通设计集团有限公司,重庆 401121中国铁路成都局集团有限公司重庆客运段,重庆 400010重庆交通大学 河海学院,重庆 400074重庆市鹏辉装饰工程有限公司,重庆 404500贵州省水利水电勘测设计研究院股份有限公司,贵州 贵阳 550002
资源环境
漂浮物防撞设施失效概率可靠性分析蒙特卡洛法
floating objectsanti-collision facilitiesfailure probabilityreliability analysisMonte Carlo method
《灾害学》 2026 (2)
23-29,7
重庆市交通科技项目"大水头差条件下防撞导向井沉井及其稳定性研究"(2017KJ014)重庆市研究生导师团队建设项目"山区河流桥梁防撞风险评价与防撞装置研发"(JDDSTD2022009)
评论